United States - MLS Next ProData current as of 07 September 2026

New York City II vs FC Cincinnati II: match statistics

New York City II vs FC Cincinnati II: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

New York City II played FC Cincinnati II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 19 August 2026. Final score: 5:0.

Current form

New York City II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. FC Cincinnati II: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

New York City II scores 1.67 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. FC Cincinnati II scores 1.09 and concedes 2.18. League average: 3.27 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: New York City II 62%, FC Cincinnati II 55%. Over 2.5: New York City II 67%, FC Cincinnati II 68%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

New York City II has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.27. New York City II: 11.6 shots per match, FC Cincinnati II: 10.0.

Match halves

New York City II: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.86. FC Cincinnati II: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

New York City II: 0-15 (8 goals). FC Cincinnati II: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS Next Pro: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

New York City II have a clear home advantage: they win 50% of their home matches, score an average of 1.7 goals, and record 53% possession. FC Cincinnati II have lost every away match this season, conceding as many as 3.0 goals per game on the road, with a -24 goal difference. The hosts are also in better current form, having collected 2 wins and a draw in their last five matches, while the visitors have failed to win any of their last five and conceded 16 goals during that run. Cincinnati II score just 0.6 goals per away game, have failed to score in 50% of their away matches, and have kept no clean sheets. Although the hosts’ home xG stands at a moderate 1.36, the visitors’ fragile defence, allowing an average xG of 1.98, strongly supports a New York City II win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

FC Cincinnati II has a season-long BTTS rate of 50%, but this has risen to as much as 100% across their last 5 matches, which clearly supports the away side finding the net. During this period, the visitors averaged 1.4 goals and created chances worth 1.34 xG, while New York City II conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match. The hosts should also find a way through, as they average 1.45 goals, while Cincinnati II concedes as many as 3.0 goals per game and 3.2 across their last five appearances. New York City II has a 55% BTTS rate this season, and the opponents’ defensive vulnerability offsets the fact that the visitors have scored just 0.6 goals per match across the campaign. The BTTS - Yes signal is moderately positive, mainly due to Cincinnati’s current scoring consistency and the team’s very weak defence.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

New York City II score an average of 1.45 goals at home, while FC Cincinnati II concede as many as 3.00 goals per away game, significantly increasing the hosts’ attacking potential. In their last five matches, the hosts scored 1.8 goals per game, whereas the visitors allowed their opponents an average of 3.2 goals. Cincinnati II’s matches ended with at least two goals in 90% of cases, while the figure for New York City II stands at 64%. Additionally, the last five matches involving both teams produced at least three goals in 80% and 100% of cases, respectively. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5 goals, as even with a limited attacking contribution from the visitors, Cincinnati II’s very weak defense favors surpassing this low line.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

New York City II have a clear quality advantage: they average 1.45 goals scored, while FC Cincinnati II concede as many as 3.00 goals per match and have not won a single game this season. In their last five matches, the hosts were leading at the break on 50% of occasions, whereas the visitors never went into half-time ahead and were trailing after 45 minutes in 60% of their matches. The Cincinnati side remain particularly vulnerable to conceding before the break, allowing an average of 2.0 goals during this period, while the hosts score 1.25. After the interval, New York City II average 1.09 goals scored and concede just 0.55, while their opponents score only 0.20 and concede 1.30. The most likely scenario is therefore for the hosts to take the lead at the break and maintain their advantage until the final whistle.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

3 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

60Possession (%)40
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
17Shots16
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
9Shots on target6
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
2.21xG1.82
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
4Corners6
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
71Dangerous attacks54
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
11Fouls9
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
1Cards1
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
1.67Goals scored / match1.09
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
1.62Goals conceded / match2.18
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
54%Average possession43%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
4.43Shots on target / match3.5
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.57Shots per match10
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
4.43Shots on target3.5
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
14.4%Shot conversion10.9%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
54%Possession43%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
1.46xG for1.27
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
1.47xG against1.82
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II

Shooting quality

New York City II: Efficient finishingFC Cincinnati II: Balanced
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
Accuracy (shots on target)38%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

New York City II is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - New York City II · 0.2 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II

New York City II
LLDWL
Season result split
43% W19% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-8
1.48 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
FC Cincinnati II
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
18% W9% R73% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-16
0.64 pts / match · goal difference -24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-10
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 3.4xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.99BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

New York City II is 53% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - New York City II · 1.09 goals / match - FC Cincinnati II

New York City II is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.62 goals / match - New York City II · 2.18 goals / match - FC Cincinnati II

New York City II scoring profile: very strong

New York City II scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while FC Cincinnati II keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).

FC Cincinnati II scoring profile: strong

FC Cincinnati II scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while New York City II keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).

35Goals scored (season)24
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
34Goals conceded (season)48
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
3.29Average goals in match3.27
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
8Goals scored (last 5)8
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
11Goals conceded (last 5)17
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal68%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
57%2 goals27%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
24%3 goals5%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
5%4 goals5%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal86%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
43%2 goals68%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
29%3 goals36%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
10%4 goals14%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
New York City II - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 21 matches
55%
FC Cincinnati II - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 22 matches
61%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time27%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
5%BTTS in both halves5%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
33%Scored in both halves9%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
60%BTTS - last 5100%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

New York City II is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / match - New York City II · 0.73 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II

New York City II - half-time state
38% leading38% draw24% trailing
FC Cincinnati II - half-time state
14% leading32% draw55% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per match (1st half)0.73
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.45
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)1.23
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.68
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
57%Clean sheet before half-time23%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
48%No goal before half-time64%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)0.95
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.95
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
1.86Average goals (2nd half)1.59
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
57%Clean sheet after half-time36%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
43%No goal after half-time59%
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II

New York City II - second-half results

29% W48% R24% P
32
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

FC Cincinnati II - second-half results

23% W27% R50% P
16
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-17
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

New York City II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
FC Cincinnati II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match2.01.4
Average goals in match3.21.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%60%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference-4-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

New York City II
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
5
4
16-30
4
5
31-45
4
5
46-60
8
7
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

FC Cincinnati II
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
4
10
16-30
3
9
31-45
4
5
46-60
4
8
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.28
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

New York City II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.68
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

FC Cincinnati II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).

Teams vs league

New York City IILigaFC Cincinnati II
Average goals in match 3.293.27 3.27
Both teams scored 62%61% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%66% 68%
Clean sheets 24%22% 14%
Goal before half-time 76%76% 86%
Goal after half-time 67%84% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.27
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.84
Home goals / match
1.43
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. New York City IIGoalLuka SunjicAssist: Camilo Ponce
  2. New York City IIGoalJonny LopezAssist: Peter Molinari
  3. FC Cincinnati IIYellow cardYair Alexander Ramos Perez
  4. New York City IIGoalCamilo Ponce
  5. New York City IIYellow cardJonny Lopez
  6. FC Cincinnati IISubstitutionOn: Leonardo OrejarenaOff: Yair Alexander Ramos Perez
  7. New York City IISubstitutionOn: Jacob ArroyaveOff: Luka Sunjic

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): New York City II 1 - 2 - 1 FC Cincinnati II. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 50% matches.

New York City II
2 : 0
FC Cincinnati II
FC Cincinnati II
1 : 0
New York City II
FC Cincinnati II
2 : 2
New York City FC II
New York City FC II
2 : 2
FC Cincinnati II

FAQ

What was the result of New York City II vs FC Cincinnati II?

The MLS Next Pro match finished New York City II 5:0 FC Cincinnati II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between New York City II and FC Cincinnati II?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches New York City II won 1, FC Cincinnati II won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before New York City II vs FC Cincinnati II?

New York City II score 1.67 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati II 1.09. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 62% of New York City II's matches and 55% of FC Cincinnati II's.

What form are New York City II and FC Cincinnati II in?

Over the last 5 games New York City II have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and FC Cincinnati II 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York City II vs FC Cincinnati II?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for New York City II vs FC Cincinnati II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.