New York City vs Charlotte: match statistics
New York City vs Charlotte: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New York City played Charlotte in MLS (United States). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
New York City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Charlotte: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
New York City scores 2.00 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Charlotte scores 1.86 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New York City 71%, Charlotte 71%. Over 2.5: New York City 57%, Charlotte 71%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
New York City has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.38. New York City: 12.1 shots per match, Charlotte: 11.4.
Match halves
New York City: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.00. Charlotte: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.43.
Goals by minute
New York City: 31-45+ (4 goals). Charlotte: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The home advantage stems from their home metrics: New York City averages 2.75 goals per match at their stadium, 13 shots per game with 6.25 on target and a conversion rate of 21%, translating to 14 goals and a +6 goal difference at home. Their home xG is 1.49 versus xG against 1.18, while Charlotte on the road generates only 0.85 xG and scores 0.5 goals per away match, with 50% of away fixtures without a goal. Visitors average 6 shots per away game with about 2 on target and an 8% conversion rate, while conceding 2 goals per away match on average (xG against 2.32), indicating issues securing the defense away from home. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 11 goals and average 1.4 points per game, while Charlotte has scored 15 goals and averages 2.0 points per game overall, but their lack of away wins (0% wins) and a -3 away goal differential weaken their prospects. Considering superior control (54% possession vs 43%), significantly higher quality and volume of shots by the home side, and the fact the hosts have not had a goalless home match (0% such games), I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis supports BTTS: New York City has a seasonal BTTS rate of 80% versus Charlotte's 50%, with the league average at 56%, placing the both-teams-to-score scenario above league level. The home side's attack looks strong — averaging 2.4 goals per game with xG 1.6, 13.6 shots and 6.8 on target with a conversion rate of 18%, while Charlotte posts only 0.5 goals seasonally, xG 0.85, 6.0 shots and 2.0 on target with an 8% conversion, so the hosts create significantly more chances (13.6 vs 6.0; 6.8 vs 2.0). On the other hand Charlotte's defense is fragile: the visitors concede 2.0 goals per game seasonally and have 0% clean sheets away, and New York City concedes 1.0 goal per match; additionally, in the last 5 matches Charlotte averaged 3.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, confirming the visitors have been finding the net recently. Considering 80% BTTS for the hosts, 60% BTTS for the visitors in the last 5 games, and the fact that 80% of NYC matches are over 2.5 goals and 80% of those combine over 2.5 with BTTS, I back BTTS - Yes with a probability of 72% versus 28% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: New York City has xG_for 1.60, while Charlotte concedes xG_against 2.32, yielding an estimated NYC xG ≈1.96; Charlotte has xG_for 0.85 and NYC xG_against 1.31 giving 1.08, totaling 3.04 expected goals. Season metrics confirm a propensity for high-scoring games: NYC matches featured over 1.5 goals in 80% of cases and over 2.5 in 80%, Charlotte matches over 1.5 in 100% and over 2.5 in 50% (combined averages ~90% for >1.5 and 65% for >2.5), while the league average is 3.1 goals per match. Creation stats support the home side’s advantage: NYC averages 6.8 shots on target and 13.6 shots with 18% conversion, whereas Charlotte averages 2.0 shots on target and 6.0 shots with 8% conversion, increasing the hosts’ scoring likelihood (seasonally NYC scores 2.4 goals, Charlotte 0.5). Additionally, both teams score in 80% of NYC’s matches and 50% of Charlotte’s, and the combination of over 2.5 and both teams to score at the hosts occurs in 80% of cases, boosting the probability of goals from both sides. As a result the strongest and most likely signal is Over 1.5 (≈90% chance), while Over 2.5 also has an edge (≈68%); therefore I recommend backing the Over at the 1.5 line. Expected goals: 1.96 for NYC and 1.08 for Charlotte (3.04).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
New York City are clear favorites: the hosts score an average of 2.4 goals per game versus 0.5 for Charlotte, have xG 1.6 versus 0.85 and average 6.8 shots on target compared to 2.0 for the visitors. At Half-Time the stats also favor NYC — they lead at the break in 40% of matches and average 0.6 goals in the first half, while Charlotte averages 0.0 HT goals and have not led at the break (0%). In the second half the hosts score 1.8 and concede 0.6 on average, while the visitors score 0.5 and concede 0.5, which suggests NYC’s advantage is likely to hold or increase after the break. Additionally the hosts’ conversion rate is 18% versus 8% for Charlotte, and New York win 60% of matches in the season while the visitors have 0% wins, so the most probable scenario is a Half-Time lead and Full-Time win for the hosts (1/1). I assign the highest probability to 1/1, giving smaller chances to a draw at the break with a later home win (X/1) or a full-time draw (X/X), whereas scenarios in which Charlotte lead at Half-Time are considered very unlikely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New York City | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Charlotte is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - New York City · 2 pts / match - Charlotte
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York City is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - New York City · 1.86 goals / match - Charlotte
New York City scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Charlotte keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Charlotte scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while New York City keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New York City
Over / Under - Charlotte
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York City is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - New York City · 1.29 pts / match - Charlotte
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New York City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Charlotte - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New York City
Charlotte
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| New York City | Liga | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 3.16 | • 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of New York City vs Charlotte?
The MLS match finished New York City 1:2 Charlotte. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before New York City vs Charlotte?
New York City score 2.00 goals per game on average and Charlotte 1.86. The MLS average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 71% of New York City's matches and 71% of Charlotte's.
What form are New York City and Charlotte in?
Over the last 5 games New York City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Charlotte 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York City vs Charlotte?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.