New York City vs FC Cincinnati: match statistics
New York City vs FC Cincinnati: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New York City played FC Cincinnati in MLS (United States). The match was played on 22 April 2026. Final score: 4:4.
Current form
New York City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. FC Cincinnati: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
New York City scores 1.88 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. FC Cincinnati scores 1.63 and concedes 2.38. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New York City 75%, FC Cincinnati 63%. Over 2.5: New York City 63%, FC Cincinnati 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
FC Cincinnati has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.54. New York City: 13.4 shots per match, FC Cincinnati: 14.4.
Match halves
New York City: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.00. FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
New York City: 31-45+ (4 goals). FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
New York City holds a clear home advantage: at home they average 2.4 goals per match with an average xG of 1.65, while FC Cincinnati average 1.0 goals away with xG 1.55. Defensively the visitors are more vulnerable — they concede an average of 3.0 goals on the road (compared to 1.4 conceded by the hosts at home) and in their last five matches Cincinnati have conceded 16 goals (3.2 per game) versus New York’s 10 conceded (2.0 per game). Efficiency also favors NYC: on average 6.4 shots on target and 16% conversion for the hosts versus 5.75 on target and 8% conversion for the visitors; the hosts have not had a goalless home match (0% of home games without scoring), and the visitors have no clean sheets away (0%). Additionally NYC have a 40% win rate at their stadium and a positive home goal difference of +5, while Cincinnati have a 0% away win rate and a negative goal difference of -8, which increases the hosts’ chances. Considering these numbers, I expect a home win, although the match could be high-scoring.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics strongly indicate BTTS - Yes: season BTTS rate for New York City is 50% versus 75% for FC Cincinnati, and in the last 5 matches 80% and 100% respectively. FC Cincinnati concedes on average 3.0 goals away this season (3.2 in the last 5) and has 0% clean sheets, while NYC concedes 1.75 goals this season (2.0 in the last 5), highlighting substantial concession risk for both sides. New York City scores 2.25 goals per game this season, FC Cincinnati 1.0, but in the last 5 Cincinnati averages 2.2 goals, so the visitors’ attacking threat is increasing. Both teams create chances — recent xG are 1.76 (NYC) and 1.59 (Cincinnati), and shots on target 5.5 vs 5.75 suggest both sides will have realistic scoring opportunities. Additionally the league BTTS is 57% with an average 3.18 goals per match, therefore I pick BTTS - Yes with a probability of 80% versus 20% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected xG is 1.70 for New York City (attack xG 1.66 and xG conceded 1.74) and 1.53 for FC Cincinnati (attack xG 1.55 and xG conceded to hosts 1.50), yielding a combined 3.23 expected goals. Season scoring averages are 2.25 for the home side and 1.00 for the visitors, while FC Cincinnati concedes an average of 3.00 goals per match; both teams have a season rate of matches over 1.5 goals at 75%, reinforcing the over signal. In the last 5 games the home team averages 1.8 goals, the away team 2.2 goals, and the percentage of matches over 2.5 is 60% (NYC) and 80% (Cincinnati), increasing the likelihood of at least 3 goals. Additionally, MLS averages 3.18 goals per match and 64% of fixtures go over 2.5, so with an expected 3.23 goals the strongest and most reliable data-driven play is on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Both teams frequently draw at the break: New York City records an HT draw in 50% of matches, while FC Cincinnati does so in 75% (approximately 62.5% average HT draws). New York City clearly dominates after the break — they average 1.75 goals in second halves versus 0.5 for Cincinnati, have a second-half goal difference of +4 compared to Cincinnati’s -6, and have earned 9 points in second halves versus the visitors’ 1 point, winning 75% of second halves. The home side is also dangerous late on: they have scored 6 goals in minutes 76–90 versus 1 for Cincinnati, which favors turnarounds after the break. xG is similar (1.66 vs 1.55), but NYC has better shot conversion (14% vs 8%) and on the season averages 1.75 points per match versus 0.25 for Cincinnati, therefore the strongest signal is a draw at half-time followed by a home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New York City | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Cincinnati is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - New York City · 1 pts / match - FC Cincinnati
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York City is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.88 goals / match - New York City · 1.63 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
New York City is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - New York City · 2.38 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
New York City scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
FC Cincinnati scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while New York City keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New York City
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York City is 138% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - New York City · 0.63 pts / match - FC Cincinnati
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New York City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New York City
FC Cincinnati
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| New York City | Liga | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.25 | 3.18 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 24% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of New York City vs FC Cincinnati?
The MLS match finished New York City 4:4 FC Cincinnati. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before New York City vs FC Cincinnati?
New York City score 1.88 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati 1.63. The MLS average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 75% of New York City's matches and 63% of FC Cincinnati's.
What form are New York City and FC Cincinnati in?
Over the last 5 games New York City have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and FC Cincinnati 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York City vs FC Cincinnati?
The statistical background for New York City vs FC Cincinnati — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.