New York City vs St. Louis City: match statistics
New York City vs St. Louis City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New York City played St. Louis City in MLS (United States). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
New York City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. St. Louis City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
New York City scores 2.60 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. St. Louis City scores 0.80 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New York City 80%, St. Louis City 40%. Over 2.5: New York City 80%, St. Louis City 20%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
St. Louis City has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.46. New York City: 12.0 shots per match, St. Louis City: 13.8.
Match halves
New York City: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.20. St. Louis City: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
New York City: 31-45+ (4 goals). St. Louis City: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a New York City home win. At home they average 3.33 goals per game and have a 67% home win rate, with a +6 goal difference in home matches. In the last 5 games NYC scored 13 goals and have a 3-1-1 record, averaging 2 points per match, while St. Louis City scored 4 goals in their last 5 games and sit at 1-1-3 with an average of 0.8 points per match. Situational stats show a clear home advantage: on average 6 shots on target per game versus 3 for the visitors and a conversion rate of 27% versus 0% for St. Louis, who on the road have a 100% share of matches without scoring and concede 2.00 goals on average. Although the xG for home (1.42) and away (1.28) is similar, NYC’s superior chance conversion and better home defense (1.33 goals conceded vs 2.00 conceded by the visitors away) lead me to estimate probabilities: home ~78%, draw 12%, away 10%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict BTTS - Yes with a 65% probability vs 35% because New York City has a seasonal BTTS rate of 67% and BTTS occurred in 80% of their last 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals scored in those five games. The home side generates 1.94 xG per match, averages 15 shots and 7.33 on target, translating to 13 goals scored and 6 conceded this season — metrics indicating a genuine advantage in chance creation. Visiting St. Louis has a seasonal goals scored average of 0.0 (4 goals this season) and only 3.0 shots on target per match, and in their last 5 matches they averaged 0.8 goals with an xG of 1.68, i.e. they create chances but convert poorly. Additionally, St. Louis concedes 2.0 goals on average this season and 1.4 in the last 5 matches, which increases the likelihood the hosts will score, while the visitors’ low finishing (conversion rate 0% in seasonal data) reduces but does not eliminate their chance to score. Considering the league BTTS level of 51% and the fact that the home attacking advantage in the league is 77%, I overall favor the Both Teams To Score scenario and rate it at 65%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The calculated expected goals favor the Over side: home 1.70 (average of xG_for 1.94 and opponents' xG_against 1.45), away 1.15 (average of xG_for 1.28 and opponents' xG_against 1.01), total 2.85. Additionally, New York City records 7.33 shots on target and 15.0 shots per match on average, versus St. Louis’s 3.0 on target and 12.0 shots, indicating more goal-scoring opportunities for the home team. In the last 5 matches NYC has scored 13 goals (2.6 avg) and had 80% of games Over 2.5 goals, while St. Louis has 4 goals in the last 5 (0.8) and only 20% Over 2.5, so NYC’s offensive edge increases the likelihood of goals. Seasonal indicators also support Over 1.5: NYC has 67% of home matches Over 1.5, and St. Louis has 100% of away matches Over 1.5, therefore the best line to play is Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (Over 2.5 moderately likely, Over 3.5 has low chance).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
New York City are the favorites: the hosts’ xG is 1.94 versus St. Louis 1.28, they average 7.33 shots on target compared to the visitors’ 3.0, and in the last five matches they have averaged 2.6 goals while St. Louis averages 0.8. In the last five matches the hosts led at the break in 60% (3 of 5) and averaged 1.4 goals at half-time versus 0.4 for opponents; season half-time averages are 0.67 for NY and 0.0 for St. Louis, indicating an advantage already in the first half. St. Louis concedes 1.4 goals on average in the last five games, has lower xG and only 3.0 shots on target, while NY averages 15.0 overall shots and posts a 9% conversion versus 0% for the visitors, so a turnaround is unlikely. Therefore I assign the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (hosts lead at the break and win) — 36%; next most likely are X/1 at 25% and X/X at 13%, reflecting NY’s superiority both at half-time (1.4 goals HT) and over the full match (2.6 goals per game versus St. Louis’s 0.8).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New York City | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.14 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New York City is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - New York City · 0.8 pts / match - St. Louis City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York City is 225% better for: goals scored per match.
2.6 goals / match - New York City · 0.8 goals / match - St. Louis City
New York City is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - New York City · 1.4 goals / match - St. Louis City
New York City scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while St. Louis City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
St. Louis City scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while New York City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New York City
Over / Under - St. Louis City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York City is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - New York City · 1.2 pts / match - St. Louis City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New York City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
St. Louis City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New York City
St. Louis City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| New York City | Liga | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.80 | 3.06 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 61% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 73% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of New York City vs St. Louis City?
The MLS match finished New York City 1:1 St. Louis City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before New York City vs St. Louis City?
New York City score 2.60 goals per game on average and St. Louis City 0.80. The MLS average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 80% of New York City's matches and 40% of St. Louis City's.
What form are New York City and St. Louis City in?
Over the last 5 games New York City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and St. Louis City 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York City vs St. Louis City?
The statistical background for New York City vs St. Louis City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.