New York RB II vs New England II: match statistics
New York RB II vs New England II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New York RB II played New England II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 2 August 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
New York RB II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. New England II: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
New York RB II scores 2.00 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. New England II scores 1.47 and concedes 1.16. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New York RB II 70%, New England II 58%. Over 2.5: New York RB II 85%, New England II 63%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
New England II has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.76. New York RB II: 14.3 shots per match, New England II: 14.7.
Match halves
New York RB II: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.15. New England II: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
New York RB II: 61-75 (9 goals). New England II: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 4.25, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I favour the hosts primarily due to superior chance creation and finishing efficiency: New York RB II average 2.8 goals per home match versus New England II’s 1.43 goals away, with season totals of 40 goals for hosts vs 28 for visitors. Hosts average 16 shots and 6.5 on target per home game, have a 18% conversion rate and xG 1.95, while visitors average 13.57 shots, 5.43 on target, a 11% conversion rate and xG 1.74. New England II’s strengths are defence and form: the visitors concede only 1.0 goal on average away and keep clean sheets in 43% of away matches, and over the last 5 games they average 1.6 points per match versus 0.8 for the hosts. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 8 and conceded 10 (1.6/2.0 per game), while the visitors scored 10 and conceded 9 (2.0/1.8), indicating an open game but with a qualitative edge in attack for the hosts. Considering the higher volume of chances, better conversion and higher xG for the hosts combined with the visitors’ defensive solidity, I pick 1; probabilities estimated as 52% home, 26% draw, 22% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high seasonal BTTS rates: 58% for New York RB II and 57% for New England II, while the league average is 61%, which immediately favors a Goal/Goal scenario. xG and shooting metrics corroborate this signal — average attacking xG of 1.82 (home) and 1.74 (away), with xG against of 1.21 and 1.09, and roughly 15.33 and 13.57 shots per match and 5.33/5.43 shots on target, so both sides create and concede chances. In the last 5 matches the home side scores 1.6 and concedes 2.0 on average, while the away side scores 2.0 and concedes 1.8, and BTTS in the last 5 is 40% for the home team and 60% for the away team, indicating a higher propensity for the away side to be involved in games with goals at both ends. Additionally, 67% of the home matches and 57% of the away matches finish over 2.5 goals, and the combination “over 2.5 and BTTS” occurs in 50% and 56% of cases, so most fixtures are high-scoring; the only limiting factor is a higher clean sheet expected rate for the away side at 43%, but it does not negate the offensive signals. Overall, considering the seasonal 58%/57%, the league 61%, solid xG and recent form, I select BTTS - Yes with a probability of 62% versus 38% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I combined the offensive xG of both teams (New York RB II 1.82, New England II 1.74) with the defensive xG of their opponents (home side 1.21, away side 1.09); averages (1.82+1.09)/2=1.455 ≈1.46 for the home team and (1.74+1.21)/2=1.475 ≈1.47 for the away team, totaling ≈2.93 goals. This aligns with season trends: the home team has Over 1.5 in 83% of matches, the away team in 57%, and the league average goals is 3.22 with 66% of fixtures over 2.5. Additionally, both teams record BTTS in 58% and 57% of matches respectively, and in the last 5 rounds both sides have produced Over 2.5 in 100% of cases, reinforcing a 3+ goals signal. A Poisson model with an expected goals total of 2.93 yields approximately 79% for Over 1.5, 56% for Over 2.5 and 34% for Over 3.5; therefore I recommend backing Over 2.5 (side: over) as the strongest signal combining xG, seasonal over% and recent form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I choose X/1 (draw at Half-Time, home win at Full-Time) because the data indicate an even first half and a New York RB II advantage in the second half. A draw at the break is likely, as the away team were level at Half-Time in 57% of their matches (drawingAtHTPercentage_away = 57.0). Although the home side have more goals by Half-Time (GoalsHT_home = 17 and home HT goals average 0.67 versus 0.43 for the away team), first halves often finish level. After the break the home team perform better in points and dominate the endings — second-half points are 22 for the home side versus 12 for the away side, with second-half points averages of 1.83 vs 1.71, suggesting the home team more often decide the match after Half-Time. Additionally, seasonal metrics support a home victory: seasonScoredAVG_home = 1.5 vs 1.43, xG_for_avg_home = 1.82 vs 1.74 and home win rate 50% versus 43% for the away team, so the Half-Time draw and home Full-Time win scenario is most consistent with the numbers.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New York RB II | New England II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New England II is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - New York RB II · 1.6 pts / match - New England II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York RB II is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - New York RB II · 1.47 goals / match - New England II
New England II is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - New York RB II · 1.16 goals / match - New England II
New York RB II scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while New England II keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
New England II scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while New York RB II keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — New York RB II
Over / Under — New England II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York RB II is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - New York RB II · 1.11 pts / match - New England II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New York RB II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
New England II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New York RB II
New England II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| New York RB II | Liga | New England II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.60 | 3.28 | ▼ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 62% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 85% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 21% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 75% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 84% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): New York RB II 2 - 0 - 2 New England II. Average goals 4.25, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of New York RB II vs New England II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished New York RB II 1:4 New England II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between New York RB II and New England II?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches New York RB II won 2, New England II won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before New York RB II vs New England II?
New York RB II score 2.00 goals per game on average and New England II 1.47. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 70% of New York RB II's matches and 58% of New England II's.
What form are New York RB II and New England II in?
Over the last 5 games New York RB II have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and New England II 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York RB II vs New England II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.