New York RB II vs Philadelphia Union II: match statistics
New York RB II vs Philadelphia Union II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New York RB II played Philadelphia Union II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 28 June 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
New York RB II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Philadelphia Union II: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
New York RB II scores 2.13 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Philadelphia Union II scores 1.13 and concedes 1.07. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New York RB II 80%, Philadelphia Union II 60%. Over 2.5: New York RB II 80%, Philadelphia Union II 47%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
New York RB II has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.30. New York RB II: 15.2 shots per match, Philadelphia Union II: 10.6.
Match halves
New York RB II: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.27. Philadelphia Union II: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
New York RB II: 76-90+ (8 goals). Philadelphia Union II: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-2-0. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 80%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a home win; New York RB II has a clear offensive edge at home: averaging 2.88 goals scored per game, 17 shots and 6.38 shots on target, versus 1.00 goal, 9.83 shots and 2.83 shots on target for Philadelphia Union II away. Home xG is 2.01 compared to away xG of 1.17 (difference 0.84 xG), and shot conversion is 17% vs 10%, indicating the hosts create and convert more high-quality chances. In the table the hosts sit 6th, the visitors 18th; hosts have 63% home wins and a positive home goal difference (+12), while visitors have 33% away wins and a negative away goal difference (-1). However, the hosts’ last five matches show only 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, averaging 0.8 points per game and conceding 10 goals in that span, while the visitors have 2 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.2 points per game and conceding 6 goals. Considering the hosts have not had a match without scoring at home (0% such games) and their advantage in xG and shots on target, I assign higher chances to New York RB II: 68% for a home win, 18% for a draw and 14% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a high rate of matches with both sides scoring: New York RB II 56% and Philadelphia Union II 67%, versus the league average of 62%. In the last 5 meetings both teams show BTTS at 60%, and during that span NYRB II conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game compared to Philadelphia’s 1.2, increasing the likelihood that both teams will find the net. xG and shooting metrics confirm the offensive profiles of both sides: xG_for is 1.38 vs 1.17, xG_against is 1.49 (NYRB II) and 1.59 (Philadelphia) — both values above 1.4 — and average shots on target are 4.44 and 2.83. Additionally, Philadelphia has 0% clean sheets, NYRB II only 22% clean sheets, and matches over 2.5 goals occur for both teams in 44% and 50% of cases; simultaneously the combination of over 2.5 without BTTS is 0% for both teams, which strongly favors a Goal/Goal outcome. Considering season-long BTTS ~61.5% (team average), league 62%, recent form and defensive vulnerability, I estimate the probability of BTTS - Yes at 67% vs 33% and recommend: yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.49 goals for New York RB II and 1.33 for Philadelphia Union II (total 2.82), calculated as the average of each team’s attacking xG and the opponent’s defensive xG: (1.38 + 1.59)/2 and (1.17 + 1.49)/2. With this combined xG I estimate ~77% probability for Over 1.5, supported by seasonal Over1.5 figures: 56% for the home side and 67% for the away side. Probability for Over 2.5 is ~53%; New York’s last 5 matches show 80% >2.5, Philadelphia 60%, and the league records 65% >2.5, which increases the likelihood of exceeding 2.5 despite seasonal rates of 44%/50%. Over 3.5 is a weaker signal (~31%), since season Over3.5 percentages are 11% for the home team and 0% for the away team, yet a lambda of 2.82 still implies ~31% chance of 4+ goals. The best and strongest play is Over 1.5 — 77% probability — reinforced by additional stats: New York averages 11.11 shots and 4.44 on target (xG 1.38) versus Philadelphia 9.83 shots and 2.83 on target (xG 1.17), plus high BTTS frequency of 56%/67%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half analysis clearly favors New York RB II: the hosts have led at the break in 4 of their matches so far (44%), scoring on average 0.78 goals before half-time and conceding only 0.22, while Philadelphia Union II score 0.17 before the break and concede 0.67. Additionally New York RB II have higher xG (1.38 vs 1.17), register more shots on target (4.44 vs 2.83) and accumulated 16 points by half-time this season (an average of 1.78 per match), whereas the visitors have 3 points (0.50 per match); this is a strong argument for the hosts leading at half-time. On the other hand the visitors are more active after the break: they score on average 0.83 goals in the second half and win the second half in 33% of matches, while the hosts score only 0.44 after the break and win the second half in 11%, which increases the likelihood of a turnaround. Considering the hosts’ first-half advantage and the visitors’ better post-break statistics, the most likely HT/FT scenario is 1/1 (34%), while alternatives are a draw at half-time or an equalizer by the visitors (X/X 18%, X/1 12%, 1/X 15%); scenarios with the visitors leading at half-time have a combined lower probability (10%). Caution is warranted due to form: in the last 5 matches the hosts have won only 20% of games and the visitors 40%, so I assign a substantial portion of probability to scenarios with draws and visitors mounting a comeback.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New York RB II | Philadelphia Union II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Philadelphia Union II is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - New York RB II · 1.2 pts / match - Philadelphia Union II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York RB II is 88% better for: goals scored per match.
2.13 goals / match - New York RB II · 1.13 goals / match - Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - New York RB II · 1.07 goals / match - Philadelphia Union II
New York RB II scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Philadelphia Union II keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
Philadelphia Union II scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while New York RB II keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New York RB II
Over / Under - Philadelphia Union II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York RB II is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - New York RB II · 1.27 pts / match - Philadelphia Union II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New York RB II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Philadelphia Union II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New York RB II
Philadelphia Union II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| New York RB II | Liga | Philadelphia Union II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.60 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 65% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 83% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): New York RB II 3 - 2 - 0 Philadelphia Union II. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of New York RB II vs Philadelphia Union II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished New York RB II 5:0 Philadelphia Union II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between New York RB II and Philadelphia Union II?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches New York RB II won 3, Philadelphia Union II won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before New York RB II vs Philadelphia Union II?
New York RB II score 2.13 goals per game on average and Philadelphia Union II 1.13. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 80% of New York RB II's matches and 60% of Philadelphia Union II's.
What form are New York RB II and Philadelphia Union II in?
Over the last 5 games New York RB II have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Philadelphia Union II 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York RB II vs Philadelphia Union II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.