New York RB II vs Toronto II: match statistics
New York RB II vs Toronto II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New York RB II played Toronto II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 21 June 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
New York RB II: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Toronto II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
New York RB II scores 1.93 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Toronto II scores 1.71 and concedes 1.64. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New York RB II 86%, Toronto II 57%. Over 2.5: New York RB II 79%, Toronto II 71%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
New York RB II has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.32. New York RB II: 14.9 shots per match, Toronto II: 10.7.
Match halves
New York RB II: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.07. Toronto II: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
New York RB II: 61-75 (6 goals). Toronto II: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
New York RB II average 2.57 goals per home match and register xG 1.99 with 16.57 shots and 59% possession, while Toronto II away average 1.57 goals, xG 1.22 and only 10 shots per game. Hosts produce more shots on target (6.29 vs 4.29) and have scored at least once in every home match (clean sheet rate 0%), whereas visitors fail to score in 43% of their away games. Despite a seasonal advantage in chance creation, New York RB II are performing poorly in the short term — in the last 5 matches they have scored only 5 goals, conceded 13 and average just 0.2 points per game in that period, while Toronto II have 10 goals and 2.0 points per game in the same window. Defensively both teams concede on average 1.57 goals in home/away fixtures, but xG against indicates greater danger from the visitors (1.78 vs 1.37). Considering the hosts’ superiority in shots, possession and home xG, but also their poor 5-game run, I tip a home win (1) with moderate probability.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the "BTTS - Yes" scenario: New York RB II posts a season BTTS of 86% (80% in last 5), while Toronto II, despite a season BTTS of only 29%, also sits at 80% in their last 5 matches. Home side averages 1.86 goals per season (xG 1.42) and rarely keeps a clean sheet (only 14%), and they have conceded an average of 2.6 goals in the last 5 matches, increasing the likelihood opponents will score. Visitors average 1.57 goals for the season (xG 1.22) and have netted 2.0 goals on average with 1.32 xG per game over the last 5, showing real scoring capability despite a season clean sheet rate of 43%. Additionally, the league has an overall BTTS rate of 62% and an average of 3.25 goals per match, and the combined season xG of both teams is about 2.64 (1.42+1.22), which supports goal exchange. Considering the home side’s high season BTTS of 86%, both teams’ form over the last 5 (80% each), and the combined xG and scoring averages, I recommend a 'yes' pick with a probability of 70% versus 30% for 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
For valuation I paired xG with defensive conceding averages: New York RB II offensive xG is 1.42, while Toronto II xG against is 1.78, yielding an estimated 1.60 goals for the home side; similarly Toronto II offensive xG 1.22 versus home xG against 1.68 yields 1.45 goals for the visitors. I added comparison of seasonal goals (home 1.86, away 1.57) and form from the last 5 matches (average xG: home 1.73, away 1.32), which after averaging gives expected 1.67 goals for the home team and 1.50 for the away team, total 3.17 goals. The stats confirm a tendency to higher totals: home side have 86% of matches over 2.5 goals this season, visitors 57%, and in the last 5 fixtures over 2.5 occurred for both teams in 80% of cases; the league average is 3.25 goals per game. Additionally the hosts average 11.43 shots (5.0 on target), visitors 10.0 (4.29 on target) with finishing rate 16%, and season-long co-occurrence of over 2.5 with both teams scoring for the hosts is 86%, which strengthens the signal for Over. Based on this I recommend Over 2.5 as the strongest signal (best line), noting Over 1.5 is practically certain, while Over 3.5 is riskier (~36% probability due to divergence: hosts 29% Over 3.5 vs visitors 57%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the home side led in 3 of 7 matches (43%), the score was level in 3/7 (43%), and the visitors led in only 1/7 (14%), indicating NY RB II’s advantage in the first half. The home team scores on average 1.0 goal by the break versus 0.43 for the visitors and posts 1.42 xG compared to 1.22 for Toronto II, so they create more chances before half-time. Over the season the home side wins 57% of matches versus 29% for the visitors and average 5.0 shots on target against the visitors’ 4.29, therefore the scenario of the home side leading at the break and winning the match (HT/FT 1/1) I assess as the strongest (~34%). It should be noted, however, that the visitors are relatively more dangerous after the break: they score on average 1.14 goals in the second half versus 0.86 for the home team, and more than 0.5 goals in the second half occurs in 71% of the visitors’ matches, which increases the chances of scenarios with an opening draw and a turnaround (HT/FT X/1 ~22%, X/2 ~11%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New York RB II | Toronto II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Toronto II is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - New York RB II · 2 pts / match - Toronto II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York RB II is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.93 goals / match - New York RB II · 1.71 goals / match - Toronto II
New York RB II scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Toronto II keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Toronto II scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while New York RB II keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New York RB II
Over / Under - Toronto II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toronto II is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - New York RB II · 1.57 pts / match - Toronto II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New York RB II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Toronto II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New York RB II
Toronto II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| New York RB II | Liga | Toronto II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 3.25 | ▲ 3.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 21% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): New York RB II 2 - 1 - 0 Toronto II. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of New York RB II vs Toronto II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished New York RB II 5:0 Toronto II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between New York RB II and Toronto II?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches New York RB II won 2, Toronto II won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before New York RB II vs Toronto II?
New York RB II score 1.93 goals per game on average and Toronto II 1.71. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 86% of New York RB II's matches and 57% of Toronto II's.
What form are New York RB II and Toronto II in?
Over the last 5 games New York RB II have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Toronto II 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York RB II vs Toronto II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.