New York RB vs New York City: match statistics
New York RB vs New York City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New York RB played New York City in MLS (United States). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
New York RB: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. New York City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
New York RB scores 1.69 and concedes 2.31 goals per match. New York City scores 1.77 and concedes 1.38. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New York RB 69%, New York City 54%. Over 2.5: New York RB 69%, New York City 54%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
New York RB has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.41. New York RB: 13.8 shots per match, New York City: 11.5.
Match halves
New York RB: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.00. New York City: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
New York RB: 76-90+ (6 goals). New York City: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (2). New York City in the last 5 matches has won 3 times, scored 7 goals and conceded only 4, averaging 1.8 points per match, while New York RB in that period has 2 wins, 7 scored and 10 conceded and 1.2 points per match. The hosts attack more intensively at home — averaging 2.0 goals per match with 12.83 shots and 4.17 on target, xG For for the hosts is 1.57 versus 1.09 xG For for the visitors on the road and a higher conversion rate (16% vs 10%). However, NYRB concedes as many as 2.17 goals per home match (30 conceded season-to-date), while the visitors concede on average 1.0 goal away (18 conceded season-to-date) and in the last 5 matches allowed 4 goals versus RB’s 10, which gives New York City a defensive edge. As a result I assign a 45% chance to an away win, 35% to the home side and 20% to a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I recommend BTTS - Yes (60% vs 40%). New York RB posts a seasonal BTTS rate of 63% and 60% in the last 5 matches, while the league records 60% BTTS, providing a strong signal for both teams to score. The home side averages 2.38 goals per season with xG 1.62 and 6.38 shots on target on average; the visitors average 0.80 goals per season with xG 1.09. Additionally, the visitors have xG against 1.54, so the home team will create chances, and the visitors have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches (1.4 avg), showing an ability to respond. In the last 5 matches the hosts conceded 10 goals (2.0 avg) versus 4 conceded by the visitors (0.8 avg), and clean sheets are only 25% and 20%, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Although the visitors’ seasonal BTTS is only 40% and their BTTS in the last 5 matches is 20%, lowering confidence, the combined attacking metrics, xG profile and low clean sheet percentages favor Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
An xG-based model projects 1.58 goals for New York RB and 1.19 for New York City, totaling 2.77 goals. New York RB score 2.38 goals at home on average and have 100% of home matches with over 1.5 goals, while the away side have 60% of such matches, which strongly supports the over 1.5 scenario. Seasonally NYRB have 75% of games with over 2.5 goals, whereas NYC only 20%, so Over 2.5 looks less convincing (~52% according to the model). NYRB register 6.38 shots on target on average versus 3.0 for their opponents, and their conversion is 17% versus 10% for the opponent, which increases the likelihood of home goals; therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
New York RB holds a clear first-half advantage: they lead at the break in 50% of matches and average 1.25 goals by half-time, while New York City average only 0.40 goals (14 home first-half goals vs 5 for the visitors). The offensive differential is supported by home xG of 1.62 versus 1.09 for the away side, and 6.38 shots on target for the hosts versus 3.0 for the visitors, with a conversion rate of 17% vs 10%. After the break New York RB average 1.13 goals and score in the second half in 100% of matches, while the visitors average 0.4 and do so in 60% of matches, which increases the likelihood of maintaining or extending the lead. For these reasons the most likely scenario is the hosts leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1); alternatives are a half-time draw with a later home win (X/1) or a full-time draw (X/X), but based on the advantage in xG, shots and half-time goals the 1/1 scenario appears the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New York RB | New York City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York City is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - New York RB · 1.77 goals / match - New York City
New York City is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.31 goals / match - New York RB · 1.38 goals / match - New York City
New York RB scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while New York City keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
New York City scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while New York RB keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New York RB
Over / Under - New York City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York City is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - New York RB · 1.62 pts / match - New York City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New York RB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
New York City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New York RB
New York City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| New York RB | Liga | New York City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 3.28 | ▼ 3.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 59% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 63% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 23% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 76% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 80% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of New York RB vs New York City?
The MLS match finished New York RB 1:1 New York City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before New York RB vs New York City?
New York RB score 1.69 goals per game on average and New York City 1.77. The MLS average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 69% of New York RB's matches and 54% of New York City's.
What form are New York RB and New York City in?
Over the last 5 games New York RB have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and New York City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York RB vs New York City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.