New York RB vs San Diego: match statistics
New York RB vs San Diego: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New York RB played San Diego in MLS (United States). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
New York RB: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. San Diego: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
New York RB scores 1.26 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. San Diego scores 1.74 and concedes 1.74. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New York RB 59%, San Diego 56%. Over 2.5: New York RB 56%, San Diego 67%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
New York RB has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.39. New York RB: 13.0 shots per match, San Diego: 11.8.
Match halves
New York RB: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.67. San Diego: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
New York RB: 76-90+ (8 goals). San Diego: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
New York RB have the home advantage, winning 31% of their matches at home, while San Diego have won just 15% of their away games. The hosts create chances worth an average xG of 1.60 at home and score 1.38 goals per match; away from home, the visitors average 1.22 and 1.15 respectively. However, New York RB’s recent attacking form is a concern, with the team scoring just 2 goals in 5 matches. San Diego are also going through a difficult spell: they have failed to win any of their last 5 matches and conceded 14 goals during that run. With the hosts conceding an average of 2 goals per home match, a draw or an away win remains a realistic possibility, but San Diego’s poor run and lower chance creation favour New York RB.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
New York RB average 2.29 goals at home, while San Diego concede 1.77 on the road, making a home goal look likely. The visitors average 1.15 goals away from home, while the hosts concede 1.71 at home, giving San Diego a genuine chance to find a reply. The case for both teams to score is also supported by season BTTS rates of 57% for the hosts and 54% for the visitors. Caution is warranted, however: New York RB have scored just 0.4 goals per game across their last 5 matches, and BTTS has not landed in any of them. Despite the hosts’ poor recent run, I’m backing BTTS - Yes, primarily because of their season-long scoring record at home and the 2.8 goals San Diego have conceded on average over their last 5 matches.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 93% of New York RB’s home matches and 62% of San Diego’s away games. The hosts average 2.29 goals at home, while the visitors concede 1.77 on the road; New York RB’s edge is also supported by average xG of 1.54 compared with the 1.59 San Diego allow. The chances of both sides scoring are boosted by the fact that New York RB concede an average of 1.71 goals at home, although San Diego score only 1.15 away. Caution around higher lines is warranted by the hosts’ last 5 matches, in which they scored just 0.4 goals per game, despite the visitors conceding as many as 2.8 over that period. Therefore, with a projected total of 3.05 goals, the overall chance of at least 2 goals looks stronger than the case for Over 2.5 or Over 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a New York RB win. The hosts were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches and did not score before half-time in any of them, so their season-long rate of leading at the break in 43% of matches should be treated with caution. San Diego, however, trailed at half-time in 3 of their last 5 games and conceded an average of 1.2 goals over that period, making a home lead after 45 minutes a realistic alternative. New York RB’s case for a full-time win is supported by an average of 2.29 goals scored compared with San Diego’s 1.15, as well as an xG advantage of 1.54 to 1.22. Although the hosts have scored only 0.4 goals per game recently, the visitors have conceded an average of 2.8 over the same period, increasing the likelihood of New York RB breaking the deadlock after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New York RB | San Diego | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New York RB is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - New York RB · 0.4 pts / match - San Diego
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
San Diego is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - New York RB · 1.74 goals / match - San Diego
San Diego is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.89 goals / match - New York RB · 1.74 goals / match - San Diego
New York RB scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while San Diego keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
San Diego scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while New York RB keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New York RB
Over / Under - San Diego
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Diego is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - New York RB · 1.33 pts / match - San Diego
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New York RB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
San Diego - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New York RB
San Diego
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| New York RB | Liga | San Diego | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.15 | 3.22 | ▲ 3.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 63% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 21% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 82% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of New York RB vs San Diego?
The MLS match finished New York RB 4:1 San Diego. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before New York RB vs San Diego?
New York RB score 1.26 goals per game on average and San Diego 1.74. The MLS average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 59% of New York RB's matches and 56% of San Diego's.
What form are New York RB and San Diego in?
Over the last 5 games New York RB have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and San Diego 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York RB vs San Diego?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.