United States - MLSSports Illustrated StadiumData current as of 15 October 2026

New York RB vs Toronto: match statistics

Reasoning:

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New York RB vs Toronto: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

New York RB play Toronto in MLS (United States). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Current form

New York RB: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Toronto: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

New York RB scores 1.36 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. Toronto scores 1.46 and concedes 1.86. League average: 3.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: New York RB 61%, Toronto 79%. Over 2.5: New York RB 57%, Toronto 68%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

New York RB has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.38. New York RB: 13.5 shots per match, Toronto: 12.1.

Match halves

New York RB: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68. Toronto: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 1.07.

Goals by minute

New York RB: 76-90+ (9 goals). Toronto: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.00)
(4.00)
(3.00)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

New York RBToronto
1.36Goals scored / match1.46
New York RBToronto
1.86Goals conceded / match1.86
New York RBToronto
51%Average possession45%
New York RBToronto
4.82Shots on target / match4.39
New York RBToronto

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.54Shots per match12.14
New York RBToronto
4.82Shots on target4.39
New York RBToronto
10%Shot conversion12.1%
New York RBToronto
51%Possession45%
New York RBToronto
1.57xG for1.38
New York RBToronto
1.59xG against1.54
New York RBToronto

Shooting quality

New York RB: BalancedToronto: Counter-attacking
New York RBToronto
Accuracy (shots on target)36%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

New York RB is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - New York RB · 1.2 pts / match - Toronto

New York RB
LWWLW
Season result split
36% W21% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-12
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-6
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LDLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Toronto
WLLLW
Season result split
25% W39% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-11-10
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-8
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.93BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Toronto is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - New York RB · 1.46 goals / match - Toronto

New York RB scoring profile: very strong

New York RB scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).

Toronto scoring profile: very strong

Toronto scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while New York RB keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).

38Goals scored (season)41
New York RBToronto
52Goals conceded (season)52
New York RBToronto
3.21Average goals in match3.32
New York RBToronto
6Goals scored (last 5)5
New York RBToronto
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
New York RBToronto

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal82%
New York RBToronto
32%2 goals43%
New York RBToronto
21%3 goals18%
New York RBToronto
11%4 goals4%
New York RBToronto

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal89%
New York RBToronto
57%2 goals54%
New York RBToronto
25%3 goals36%
New York RBToronto
11%4 goals7%
New York RBToronto

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time25%
New York RBToronto
14%BTTS in both halves11%
New York RBToronto
25%Scored in both halves11%
New York RBToronto

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS61%
New York RBToronto
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
New York RBToronto
20%BTTS - last 560%
New York RBToronto

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
New York RBToronto
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
New York RBToronto
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
New York RBToronto

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
New York RBToronto
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
New York RBToronto
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time36%
New York RBToronto

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

New York RB is 82% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - New York RB · 0.71 pts / match - Toronto

New York RB - half-time state
32% leading32% draw36% trailing
Toronto - half-time state
11% leading39% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)0.71
New York RBToronto
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.39
New York RBToronto
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
New York RBToronto
1.36Average goals (1st half)1.25
New York RBToronto
46%Clean sheet before half-time36%
New York RBToronto
57%No goal before half-time68%
New York RBToronto

After half-time (2nd half)

0.96Points per match (2nd half)1.39
New York RBToronto
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)1.07
New York RBToronto
1.18Goals conceded (2nd half)1
New York RBToronto
1.86Average goals (2nd half)2.07
New York RBToronto
29%Clean sheet after half-time36%
New York RBToronto
46%No goal after half-time39%
New York RBToronto

New York RB - second-half results

25% W21% D54% L
36
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Toronto - second-half results

36% W32% D32% L
20
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding227%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

New York RB - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Toronto - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.40
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-50
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

New York RB
ScoredConceded
8
7
0-15
4
4
16-30
7
8
31-45
7
12
46-60
3
9
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Toronto
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
2
7
16-30
6
10
31-45
5
10
46-60
8
7
61-75
17
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.27
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

New York RB

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Toronto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

New York RBLigaToronto
Average goals in match• 3.213.26• 3.32
Both teams scored▼ 61%64%▲ 79%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 57%64%▲ 68%
Clean sheets▼ 14%20%▼ 11%
Goal before half-time• 79%78%▼ 71%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%82%▼ 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.85
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: New York RB 0 - 1 - 0 Toronto. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do New York RB and Toronto play?

New York RB face Toronto on 17 October 2026 in MLS at Sports Illustrated Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before New York RB vs Toronto?

New York RB score 1.36 goals per game on average and Toronto 1.46. The MLS average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 61% of New York RB's matches and 79% of Toronto's.

What form are New York RB and Toronto in?

Over the last 5 games New York RB have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Toronto 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York RB vs Toronto?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for New York RB vs Toronto: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.