Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Newcastle United play Aston Villa in Premier League (England). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: St. James' Park.
Current form
Newcastle United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Aston Villa: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Newcastle United scores 1.67 and concedes 2.17 goals per match. Aston Villa scores 1.00 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Newcastle United 83%, Aston Villa 50%. Over 2.5: Newcastle United 83%, Aston Villa 67%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Newcastle United has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.21. Newcastle United: 11.7 shots per match, Aston Villa: 11.3.
Match halves
Newcastle United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Aston Villa: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Newcastle United: 0-15 (3 goals). Aston Villa: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Newcastle United | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Newcastle United is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Newcastle United · 1 pts / match - Aston Villa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Newcastle United is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Newcastle United · 1 goals / match - Aston Villa
Aston Villa is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.17 goals / match - Newcastle United · 1.83 goals / match - Aston Villa
Newcastle United scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Aston Villa scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Newcastle United
Over / Under - Aston Villa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aston Villa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Newcastle United
Aston Villa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Newcastle United | Liga | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.83 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Newcastle United 0 - 1 - 1 Aston Villa. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Newcastle United and Aston Villa play?
Newcastle United face Aston Villa on 17 October 2026 in Premier League at St. James' Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle United and Aston Villa?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Newcastle United won 0, Aston Villa won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?
Newcastle United score 1.67 goals per game on average and Aston Villa 1.00. The Premier League average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Newcastle United's matches and 50% of Aston Villa's.
What form are Newcastle United and Aston Villa in?
Over the last 5 games Newcastle United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Aston Villa 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.