Newcastle United vs Brentford: match statistics
Newcastle United show solid home form with a 58% win rate at their own stadium and a +5 goal difference, which represents a significant advantage over the visitors. Brentford have very poor away statistics – just a 33% win rate and a negative goal difference of -7, with 67% of their away matches ending in defeat. Newcastle score an average of 1.83 goals per home match with an xG of 1.70, while Brentford only score 1.08 goals away with an xG of 1.16, highlighting the hosts' offensive superiority. Recent form for both teams is mixed, but Newcastle has better possession stats (52% vs 48%) and shooting efficiency on their home ground. A key factor is also that Brentford have not recorded a single draw away this season, which suggests a decisive match outcome, and the statistics favor the hosts.
Newcastle United vs Brentford: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Newcastle United played Brentford in Premier League (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Newcastle United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Brentford: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Newcastle United scores 1.38 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Brentford scores 1.50 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Newcastle United 58%, Brentford 50%. Over 2.5: Newcastle United 58%, Brentford 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Newcastle United has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.26. Newcastle United: 12.8 shots per match, Brentford: 10.3.
Match halves
Newcastle United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.71. Brentford: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Newcastle United: 76-90+ (9 goals). Brentford: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Newcastle United show solid home form with a 58% win rate at their own stadium and a +5 goal difference, which represents a significant advantage over the visitors. Brentford have very poor away statistics – just a 33% win rate and a negative goal difference of -7, with 67% of their away matches ending in defeat. Newcastle score an average of 1.83 goals per home match with an xG of 1.70, while Brentford only score 1.08 goals away with an xG of 1.16, highlighting the hosts' offensive superiority. Recent form for both teams is mixed, but Newcastle has better possession stats (52% vs 48%) and shooting efficiency on their home ground. A key factor is also that Brentford have not recorded a single draw away this season, which suggests a decisive match outcome, and the statistics favor the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Newcastle United | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brentford is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Newcastle United · 1.8 pts / match - Brentford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brentford is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Newcastle United · 1.5 goals / match - Brentford
Newcastle United scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Brentford keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Brentford scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Newcastle United
Over / Under - Brentford
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brentford is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Newcastle United · 1.46 pts / match - Brentford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Brentford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Newcastle United
Brentford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Newcastle United | Liga | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.75 | 2.79 | • 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Newcastle United 0 - 0 - 1 Brentford. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Newcastle United vs Brentford?
The Premier League match finished Newcastle United 2:3 Brentford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Newcastle United vs Brentford?
Newcastle United score 1.38 goals per game on average and Brentford 1.50. The Premier League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Newcastle United's matches and 50% of Brentford's.
What form are Newcastle United and Brentford in?
Over the last 5 games Newcastle United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Brentford 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newcastle United vs Brentford?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Newcastle United vs Brentford: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.