Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace: match statistics
Newcastle United hold a distinct advantage as hosts with a 56% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +4 at their own stadium. The Magpies score an average of 1.78 goals per home match with an average of 5.56 shots on target, outperforming Crystal Palace's offensive capabilities away (1.33 goals, 3.89 shots on target). Palace are undergoing a slump in form, averaging just 0.6 points per match in their last five fixtures and remaining winless in that period. Newcastle have shown variable form in their last five home games but maintain a solid record with 56% home wins over the full season. Higher xG values for Newcastle (1.66 vs 1.18 for Palace away) and better overall form (1.4 PPG vs 0.6 PPG) favor the hosts, although Crystal Palace can be a difficult opponent with 44% clean sheets in away matches.
Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Newcastle United played Crystal Palace in Premier League (England). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Newcastle United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Crystal Palace: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Newcastle United scores 1.37 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Crystal Palace scores 1.16 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Newcastle United 63%, Crystal Palace 47%. Over 2.5: Newcastle United 63%, Crystal Palace 47%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Newcastle United has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.33. Newcastle United: 12.7 shots per match, Crystal Palace: 11.8.
Match halves
Newcastle United: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.63. Crystal Palace: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Newcastle United: 76-90+ (6 goals). Crystal Palace: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Newcastle United hold a distinct advantage as hosts with a 56% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +4 at their own stadium. The Magpies score an average of 1.78 goals per home match with an average of 5.56 shots on target, outperforming Crystal Palace's offensive capabilities away (1.33 goals, 3.89 shots on target). Palace are undergoing a slump in form, averaging just 0.6 points per match in their last five fixtures and remaining winless in that period. Newcastle have shown variable form in their last five home games but maintain a solid record with 56% home wins over the full season. Higher xG values for Newcastle (1.66 vs 1.18 for Palace away) and better overall form (1.4 PPG vs 0.6 PPG) favor the hosts, although Crystal Palace can be a difficult opponent with 44% clean sheets in away matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Newcastle United | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Newcastle United is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Newcastle United · 0.8 pts / match - Crystal Palace
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Newcastle United is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Newcastle United · 1.16 goals / match - Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Newcastle United · 1.11 goals / match - Crystal Palace
Newcastle United scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Crystal Palace keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Crystal Palace scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Newcastle United
Over / Under - Crystal Palace
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 37%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Crystal Palace - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 37%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Newcastle United
Crystal Palace
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Newcastle United | Liga | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.63 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 54% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 26% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace?
The Premier League match finished Newcastle United 2:0 Crystal Palace. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace?
Newcastle United score 1.37 goals per game on average and Crystal Palace 1.16. The Premier League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Newcastle United's matches and 47% of Crystal Palace's.
What form are Newcastle United and Crystal Palace in?
Over the last 5 games Newcastle United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Crystal Palace 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace?
The statistical background for Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.