Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield: match statistics
Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Newell's Old Boys played Vélez Sarsfield in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 11 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Newell's Old Boys: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Vélez Sarsfield: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Newell's Old Boys scores 1.00 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Vélez Sarsfield scores 1.16 and concedes 0.76. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Newell's Old Boys 54%, Vélez Sarsfield 52%. Over 2.5: Newell's Old Boys 38%, Vélez Sarsfield 24%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Vélez Sarsfield has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.21. Newell's Old Boys: 9.9 shots per match, Vélez Sarsfield: 12.0.
Match halves
Newell's Old Boys: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.79. Vélez Sarsfield: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Newell's Old Boys: 76-90+ (13 goals). Vélez Sarsfield: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Newell's Old Boys are in clearly better current form: they have picked up 11 points in their last five matches, winning 3 times and conceding just 2 goals. Vélez Sarsfield remain unbeaten over the same period, but recorded as many as 4 draws, scored only 5 goals and collected 7 points. The hosts create slightly higher-quality chances at home, with an average xG of 1.43 compared with the visitors’ 1.24 away from home, while their opponents allow an xG of 1.59. Vélez have a solid away defence, conceding an average of 0.92 goals per match, but they have drawn 58% of their games on the road, significantly increasing the likelihood of a closely contested match. Home advantage and Newell's considerably better defensive efficiency in recent matches marginally favour a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points toward BTTS - No, as Newell's Old Boys keep a clean sheet in 46% of their matches and have conceded just 2 goals in their last 5 games, averaging 0.4 per match. The hosts have a seasonal BTTS rate of only 38%, clearly below Vélez's 67% and the league average of 45%. Vélez score an average of 1.33 goals, but their recent run stands at just 1.0 goal per match, while Newell's defence is currently very solid. The low league average of 2.08 goals, along with just 23% and 25% of matches involving the two teams producing at least three goals, further supports a tight scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile points to a low-scoring game: the hosts concede an average of just 0.62 goals in home matches, while Vélez concede 0.92 away from home. Under 2.5 goals was recorded in 77% of Newell's matches and 75% of Vélez's, while the 3.5-goal line was not exceeded in 92% and 75% of cases, respectively. In their last five matches, both teams had just 20% of games with at least three goals, while their combined average of goals conceded during this period was 0.4 for Newell's and 0.8 for Vélez. Although the xG figures suggest potential for around 1.57 goals for the hosts and 1.24 for the visitors, Newell's actual scoring rate is only 1.00 goal per match, which is why the projected total of 1.85 goals supports the Under 3.5 selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Newell's Old Boys victory, as the hosts were level at the break in 75% of their recent matches and failed to score before half-time in any of them. Vélez also tends to start cautiously: across the season, they were level at half-time in 58% of matches, while their average first-half goals tally is just 0.50. After the interval, however, the advantage shifts to the hosts: in their last five matches, they averaged 1.25 goals in the second half while conceding just 0.25, whereas Vélez scored 0.60 goals during that period. Newell's also have the stronger current run, with a 60% win rate and 2.2 points per match across their last five outings, compared with the visitors' 20% win rate. The hosts' seasonal xG of 1.57, higher than Vélez's 1.24, along with Newell's 46% clean-sheet rate, further support the prediction of a controlled turnaround after half-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Newell's Old Boys | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Newell's Old Boys is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Newell's Old Boys · 1.4 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vélez Sarsfield is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Newell's Old Boys · 1.16 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield
Vélez Sarsfield is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Newell's Old Boys · 0.76 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield
Newell's Old Boys scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Vélez Sarsfield keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 matches).
Vélez Sarsfield scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Newell's Old Boys keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Newell's Old Boys
Over / Under - Vélez Sarsfield
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vélez Sarsfield is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Newell's Old Boys · 1.44 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Newell's Old Boys - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vélez Sarsfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Newell's Old Boys
Vélez Sarsfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Newell's Old Boys | Liga | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.42 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 45% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 36% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 34% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 72% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Newell's Old Boys 1 - 1 - 0 Vélez Sarsfield. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield?
The Primera División match finished Newell's Old Boys 1:1 Vélez Sarsfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Newell's Old Boys and Vélez Sarsfield?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Newell's Old Boys won 1, Vélez Sarsfield won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Newell's Old Boys score 1.00 goals per game on average and Vélez Sarsfield 1.16. The Primera División average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Newell's Old Boys's matches and 52% of Vélez Sarsfield's.
What form are Newell's Old Boys and Vélez Sarsfield in?
Over the last 5 games Newell's Old Boys have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Vélez Sarsfield 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield?
The statistical background for Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.