Newport County vs Accrington Stanley: match statistics
Newport County presents very weak home form with only 15% wins at home and a negative goal difference of -9, occupying a distant 23rd place in the table. Despite being in 16th position, Accrington Stanley shows better disposition, gaining 2 points per match in the last five meetings and winning three of them. The visitors have a better xG conversion rate (1.27 to 1.23) and a more solid defense on the road (1.23 goals conceded on average). However, Newport has a slight advantage in possession and has recently won two of their last five matches overall. Taking into account the hosts' weak form at home, but improvement in recent weeks, and the stable, though unspectacular, play of the visitors on the road, I expect a close match with a slight advantage towards a draw or a victory for Accrington.
Newport County vs Accrington Stanley: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Newport County played Accrington Stanley in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 27 January 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Newport County: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Accrington Stanley: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Newport County scores 1.08 and concedes 1.81 goals per match. Accrington Stanley scores 1.04 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Newport County 58%, Accrington Stanley 42%. Over 2.5: Newport County 58%, Accrington Stanley 31%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Accrington Stanley has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.20. Newport County: 10.9 shots per match, Accrington Stanley: 12.8.
Match halves
Newport County: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.73. Accrington Stanley: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Newport County: 76-90+ (8 goals). Accrington Stanley: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Newport County presents very weak home form with only 15% wins at home and a negative goal difference of -9, occupying a distant 23rd place in the table. Despite being in 16th position, Accrington Stanley shows better disposition, gaining 2 points per match in the last five meetings and winning three of them. The visitors have a better xG conversion rate (1.27 to 1.23) and a more solid defense on the road (1.23 goals conceded on average). However, Newport has a slight advantage in possession and has recently won two of their last five matches overall. Taking into account the hosts' weak form at home, but improvement in recent weeks, and the stable, though unspectacular, play of the visitors on the road, I expect a close match with a slight advantage towards a draw or a victory for Accrington.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Newport County | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Accrington Stanley is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Newport County · 2 pts / match - Accrington Stanley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Accrington Stanley is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.81 goals / match - Newport County · 1.08 goals / match - Accrington Stanley
Newport County scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Accrington Stanley keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
Accrington Stanley scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Newport County keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Newport County
Over / Under - Accrington Stanley
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Accrington Stanley is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.77 pts / match - Newport County · 1.54 pts / match - Accrington Stanley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Newport County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Accrington Stanley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Newport County
Accrington Stanley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Newport County | Liga | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.88 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 48% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 25% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Newport County 1 - 0 - 0 Accrington Stanley. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Newport County vs Accrington Stanley?
The EFL League Two match finished Newport County 1:4 Accrington Stanley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Newport County vs Accrington Stanley?
Newport County score 1.08 goals per game on average and Accrington Stanley 1.04. The EFL League Two average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Newport County's matches and 42% of Accrington Stanley's.
What form are Newport County and Accrington Stanley in?
Over the last 5 games Newport County have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Accrington Stanley 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newport County vs Accrington Stanley?
The statistical background for Newport County vs Accrington Stanley — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.