Newport County vs Colchester United: match statistics
Newport County vs Colchester United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Newport County played Colchester United in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Rodney Parade. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Newport County: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Colchester United: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Newport County scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Colchester United scores 1.25 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Newport County 56%, Colchester United 75%. Over 2.5: Newport County 56%, Colchester United 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Colchester United has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.18. Newport County: 10.2 shots per match, Colchester United: 12.6.
Match halves
Newport County: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78. Colchester United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Newport County: 61-75 (3 goals). Colchester United: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Newport County are the favourites: they win 50% of their home matches and have yet to lose one, while Colchester United are still without an away win and have lost 50% of their matches on the road. The hosts score an average of 2 goals at home, while the visitors concede 2.25 away from home. With both teams averaging 4.25 shots on target, Newport are more clinical, converting 16% of their shots compared with 10%. The defensive gap is also clear in terms of the quality of chances conceded: opponents’ home xG against Newport stands at 1.17, while opponents’ away xG against Colchester is as high as 2.09. In their last five matches, the hosts have recorded 2 wins and 3 draws, conceding just 2 goals, whereas the visitors have failed to win and have conceded 8. Colchester’s four draws in that run leave the possibility of a share of the points open, but Newport’s edge in finishing and defence points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have recorded a BTTS rate of 75% in the matches analyzed, above the league average of 53%, which points to goals at both ends. Newport score an average of 1.25 goals at home, while Colchester concede 2.25 goals away, with opponents posting an xG of 2.09, making a home goal seem likely. The visitors also average 1.25 goals scored away, and both teams scored in each of their last five matches. The risk to this pick is Newport's strong recent defensive form: they have conceded only 2 goals in five matches, while BTTS landed in 40% of those games. Even so, the visitors' consistent scoring and the high BTTS rates for both sides give the BTTS - Yes scenario a moderate edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was cleared in 75% of Newport matches and 100% of Colchester matches in the statistics considered. The hosts could exploit their opponents’ defensive weaknesses, with Colchester conceding an average of 2.25 goals and recording an xGA of 2.09; Newport, meanwhile, have an xG of 1.48. The visitors’ scoring potential is limited by the fact that Newport have conceded an average of just 0.4 goals in their last five matches, so I project 1.75 goals for the hosts and 0.95 for the visitors. The Over 2.5 line is less reliable, as it was cleared in only 25% of Newport matches and in 20% and 40% of the teams’ last five matches, respectively.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: both teams were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Newport averaged just 0.4 goals before half-time over that period. However, the hosts did not concede in the first half of any of those 5 matches, limiting Colchester’s chances of taking an early lead. Newport should have the advantage after the break: the hosts average 1.0 goals in the second half, while the visitors concede 1.25. Colchester’s opponents’ average xG of 2.09 also supports a Newport win, as does the teams’ form over their last 5 matches: the hosts averaged 1.8 points per game, compared with 0.8 for the visitors. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a home win is the strongest scenario, although Newport leading at the break should also be considered.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Newport County | Colchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Newport County is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Newport County · 0.6 pts / match - Colchester United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Newport County is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Newport County · 1.25 goals / match - Colchester United
Newport County is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Newport County · 1.5 goals / match - Colchester United
Newport County scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Colchester United keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Colchester United scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Newport County keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Newport County
Over / Under - Colchester United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Newport County is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Newport County · 1.13 pts / match - Colchester United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Newport County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Colchester United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Newport County
Colchester United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Newport County | Liga | Colchester United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 52% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 66% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Newport County 0 - 0 - 2 Colchester United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Newport County vs Colchester United?
The EFL League Two match finished Newport County 1:0 Colchester United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Newport County and Colchester United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Newport County won 0, Colchester United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Newport County vs Colchester United?
Newport County score 1.33 goals per game on average and Colchester United 1.25. The EFL League Two average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Newport County's matches and 75% of Colchester United's.
What form are Newport County and Colchester United in?
Over the last 5 games Newport County have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Colchester United 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newport County vs Colchester United?
The statistical background for Newport County vs Colchester United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.