England - EFL League TwoRodney ParadeData current as of 22 September 2026

Newport County vs Grimsby Town: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Newport County vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Newport County play Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: Rodney Parade.

Current form

Newport County: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Grimsby Town: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Newport County scores 1.43 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Grimsby Town scores 1.57 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Newport County 57%, Grimsby Town 43%. Over 2.5: Newport County 57%, Grimsby Town 43%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.11. Newport County: 9.6 shots per match, Grimsby Town: 15.4.

Match halves

Newport County: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.71. Grimsby Town: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

Newport County: 76-90+ (3 goals). Grimsby Town: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.11)
(3.62)
(1.79)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Newport CountyGrimsby Town
1.43Goals scored / match1.57
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
1.57Goals conceded / match0.86
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
39%Average possession53%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
3.29Shots on target / match5
Newport CountyGrimsby Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.57Shots per match15.43
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
3.29Shots on target5
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
14.9%Shot conversion10.2%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
39%Possession53%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
1.11xG for1.68
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
1.64xG against1.1
Newport CountyGrimsby Town

Shooting quality

Newport County: Counter-attackingGrimsby Town: Attacking
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
Accuracy (shots on target)34%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Grimsby Town is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Newport County · 1.8 pts / match - Grimsby Town

Newport County
DLLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
14% W43% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-3
0.86 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 at home
1-2-0
WDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Grimsby Town
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
43% W57% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-0
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-0
Last 5 away
0-3-0
DDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Grimsby Town is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1.43 goals / match - Newport County · 1.57 goals / match - Grimsby Town

Grimsby Town is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.57 goals / match - Newport County · 0.86 goals / match - Grimsby Town

Newport County scoring profile: mixed

Newport County scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).

Grimsby Town scoring profile: very strong

Grimsby Town scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Newport County keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

10Goals scored (season)11
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
11Goals conceded (season)6
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
3Average goals in match2.43
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
4Goals scored (last 5)10
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
Newport CountyGrimsby Town

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal86%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
43%2 goals71%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
29%3 goals0%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
0%4 goals0%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal43%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
43%2 goals43%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
14%3 goals0%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
14%4 goals0%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time29%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
14%BTTS in both halves14%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
43%Scored in both halves14%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
60%BTTS - last 560%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time71%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time43%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
43%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grimsby Town is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.86 pts / match - Newport County · 2 pts / match - Grimsby Town

Newport County - half-time state
43% leading57% draw0% trailing
Grimsby Town - half-time state
57% leading29% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.86Points per match (1st half)2
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
0.71Goals scored (1st half)1.14
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
0.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
0.86Average goals (1st half)1.71
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
86%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
43%No goal before half-time29%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town

After half-time (2nd half)

0.57Points per match (2nd half)1.14
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
1.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.29
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
2.14Average goals (2nd half)0.71
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
29%Clean sheet after half-time71%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town
43%No goal after half-time71%
Newport CountyGrimsby Town

Newport County - second-half results

14% W14% D71% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding33%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.3

Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Grimsby Town - second-half results

14% W71% D14% L
14
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 43%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Newport County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.01.2
Average goals in match0.41.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Grimsby Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.20
Goals scored / match1.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match2.21.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals100%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Newport County
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
4
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Grimsby Town
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
0
16-30
5
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.71
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-45%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Newport County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
167%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Grimsby Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
167%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Newport CountyLigaGrimsby Town
Average goals in match 3.002.52 2.43
Both teams scored 57%51% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 57%44% 43%
Clean sheets 29%29% 57%
Goal before half-time 57%70% 86%
Goal after half-time 86%75% 43%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
0.94
Away goals / match
+68%
Home attack advantage
+41%
Home defence advantage
+38%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Newport County 0 - 1 - 1 Grimsby Town. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Newport County AFC
0 : 0
Grimsby Town FC
Grimsby Town FC
2 : 1
Newport County AFC

FAQ

When do Newport County and Grimsby Town play?

Newport County face Grimsby Town on 26 September 2026 in EFL League Two at Rodney Parade. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Newport County and Grimsby Town?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Newport County won 0, Grimsby Town won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Newport County vs Grimsby Town?

Newport County score 1.43 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.57. The EFL League Two average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Newport County's matches and 43% of Grimsby Town's.

What form are Newport County and Grimsby Town in?

Over the last 5 games Newport County have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Grimsby Town 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newport County vs Grimsby Town?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.