England - EFL League TwoRodney ParadeData current as of 16 October 2026

Newport County vs York City: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Newport County vs York City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Newport County play York City in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Rodney Parade.

Current form

Newport County: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. York City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Newport County scores 1.30 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. York City scores 1.89 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.48 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Newport County 50%, York City 67%. Over 2.5: Newport County 50%, York City 56%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

York City has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.18. Newport County: 10.3 shots per match, York City: 16.4.

Match halves

Newport County: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80. York City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.11.

Goals by minute

Newport County: 76-90+ (4 goals). York City: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.40)
(3.72)
(1.94)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Newport CountyYork City
1.3Goals scored / match1.89
Newport CountyYork City
1.2Goals conceded / match1.22
Newport CountyYork City
38%Average possession65%
Newport CountyYork City
3.7Shots on target / match5.22
Newport CountyYork City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.3Shots per match16.44
Newport CountyYork City
3.7Shots on target5.22
Newport CountyYork City
12.6%Shot conversion11.5%
Newport CountyYork City
38%Possession65%
Newport CountyYork City
1.18xG for1.76
Newport CountyYork City
1.48xG against1.31
Newport CountyYork City

Shooting quality

Newport County: Counter-attackingYork City: Dominant
Newport CountyYork City
Accuracy (shots on target)36%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Newport County is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Newport County · 1.6 pts / match - York City

Newport County
DDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
30% W40% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-3
1.30 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
York City
DWLWD
Season result split
44% W33% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
DLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

York City is 45% better for: goals scored per match.

1.3 goals / match - Newport County · 1.89 goals / match - York City

Newport County scoring profile: very strong

Newport County scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while York City keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

York City scoring profile: very strong

York City scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Newport County keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).

13Goals scored (season)17
Newport CountyYork City
12Goals conceded (season)11
Newport CountyYork City
2.5Average goals in match3.11
Newport CountyYork City
4Goals scored (last 5)9
Newport CountyYork City
2Goals conceded (last 5)4
Newport CountyYork City

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal89%
Newport CountyYork City
40%2 goals56%
Newport CountyYork City
20%3 goals33%
Newport CountyYork City
0%4 goals11%
Newport CountyYork City

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal78%
Newport CountyYork City
30%2 goals33%
Newport CountyYork City
10%3 goals11%
Newport CountyYork City
10%4 goals0%
Newport CountyYork City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time33%
Newport CountyYork City
10%BTTS in both halves11%
Newport CountyYork City
30%Scored in both halves44%
Newport CountyYork City

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Newport CountyYork City
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
Newport CountyYork City
40%BTTS - last 540%
Newport CountyYork City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

40%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
Newport CountyYork City
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Newport CountyYork City
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Newport CountyYork City

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Newport CountyYork City
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Newport CountyYork City
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Newport CountyYork City

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Newport County is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.6 pts / match - Newport County · 1.44 pts / match - York City

Newport County - half-time state
30% leading70% draw0% trailing
York City - half-time state
33% leading44% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.6Points per match (1st half)1.44
Newport CountyYork City
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.78
Newport CountyYork City
0.1Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Newport CountyYork City
0.6Average goals (1st half)1.33
Newport CountyYork City
90%Clean sheet before half-time44%
Newport CountyYork City
60%No goal before half-time33%
Newport CountyYork City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.1Points per match (2nd half)1.67
Newport CountyYork City
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)1.11
Newport CountyYork City
1.1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Newport CountyYork City
1.9Average goals (2nd half)1.78
Newport CountyYork City
40%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Newport CountyYork City
40%No goal after half-time33%
Newport CountyYork City

Newport County - second-half results

30% W20% D50% L
16
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

York City - second-half results

44% W33% D22% L
13
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Newport County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.21.0
1 goal20%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
York City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Newport County
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
4
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

York City
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
1
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.80
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Newport County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

York City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
191%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Newport CountyLigaYork City
Average goals in match• 2.502.48▲ 3.11
Both teams scored▼ 50%53%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%43%▲ 56%
Clean sheets▲ 40%28%▼ 22%
Goal before half-time▼ 40%66%▲ 89%
Goal after half-time▲ 80%76%▲ 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
0.99
Away goals / match
+51%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+31%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Newport County and York City play?

Newport County face York City on 17 October 2026 in EFL League Two at Rodney Parade. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Newport County vs York City?

Newport County score 1.30 goals per game on average and York City 1.89. The EFL League Two average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Newport County's matches and 67% of York City's.

What form are Newport County and York City in?

Over the last 5 games Newport County have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and York City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newport County vs York City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Newport County vs York City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.