Nice vs Brest: match statistics
Nice, playing at home, displays solid home form with a 44% win rate and a goal difference of 0, indicating stability. The team averages 1.33 goals scored and conceded per match at home, with a decent shot conversion rate (10%) and an average of 5 shots on target per game. Brest performs significantly worse in away matches – with only 22% wins, as many as 67% losses, and a negative goal difference of -8. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals away from home, and their xG (1.07) is significantly lower than Nice's (1.43). The recent form over the last five matches also favors the hosts (1.4 PPG compared to Brest's 0.8 PPG). Considering Nice's home advantage and Brest's poor away results, a home win is the most likely scenario.
Nice vs Brest: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nice played Brest in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Nice: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Brest: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nice scores 1.32 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. Brest scores 1.26 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nice 68%, Brest 47%. Over 2.5: Nice 58%, Brest 58%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Brest has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.27. Nice: 11.5 shots per match, Brest: 11.8.
Match halves
Nice: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.47. Brest: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Nice: 31-45+ (7 goals). Brest: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nice, playing at home, displays solid home form with a 44% win rate and a goal difference of 0, indicating stability. The team averages 1.33 goals scored and conceded per match at home, with a decent shot conversion rate (10%) and an average of 5 shots on target per game. Brest performs significantly worse in away matches – with only 22% wins, as many as 67% losses, and a negative goal difference of -8. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals away from home, and their xG (1.07) is significantly lower than Nice's (1.43). The recent form over the last five matches also favors the hosts (1.4 PPG compared to Brest's 0.8 PPG). Considering Nice's home advantage and Brest's poor away results, a home win is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nice | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brest is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Nice · 1.2 pts / match - Brest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nice is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Nice · 1.26 goals / match - Brest
Brest is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.89 goals / match - Nice · 1.63 goals / match - Brest
Nice scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Brest keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Brest scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nice
Over / Under - Brest
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nice is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Nice · 1.21 pts / match - Brest
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Brest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nice
Brest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Nice | Liga | Brest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.21 | 2.87 | • 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 52% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 70% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nice 0 - 0 - 1 Brest. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nice vs Brest?
The Ligue 1 match finished Nice 2:2 Brest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nice vs Brest?
Nice score 1.32 goals per game on average and Brest 1.26. The Ligue 1 average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Nice's matches and 47% of Brest's.
What form are Nice and Brest in?
Over the last 5 games Nice have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Brest 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nice vs Brest?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nice vs Brest: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.