Nice vs PSG: match statistics
PSG is the clear favorite for this match, occupying the top spot in the table with an impressive record of 18 wins this season. The away team displays significantly better away form (62% of away matches won) compared to Nice, who are only in 15th place and have won just 31% of their home games. PSG dominates in terms of possession (68% vs 47%), shot accuracy, and expected goals (xG 1.91 vs 1.4), indicating a clear offensive advantage. Nice has earned only 5 points in their last five matches and has a negative goal difference at home (-4), while PSG is on an excellent run with 12 goals in their last 5 games. The class difference between the two teams is evident, making a PSG victory the most likely scenario, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out due to the unpredictability of football.
Nice vs PSG: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nice played PSG in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Nice: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. PSG: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nice scores 1.23 and concedes 1.85 goals per match. PSG scores 2.16 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nice 58%, PSG 40%. Over 2.5: Nice 54%, PSG 56%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
PSG has higher xG: 2.11 vs 1.30. Nice: 11.6 shots per match, PSG: 17.9.
Match halves
Nice: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.54. PSG: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Nice: 31-45+ (8 goals). PSG: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSG is the clear favorite for this match, occupying the top spot in the table with an impressive record of 18 wins this season. The away team displays significantly better away form (62% of away matches won) compared to Nice, who are only in 15th place and have won just 31% of their home games. PSG dominates in terms of possession (68% vs 47%), shot accuracy, and expected goals (xG 1.91 vs 1.4), indicating a clear offensive advantage. Nice has earned only 5 points in their last five matches and has a negative goal difference at home (-4), while PSG is on an excellent run with 12 goals in their last 5 games. The class difference between the two teams is evident, making a PSG victory the most likely scenario, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out due to the unpredictability of football.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nice | PSG | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSG is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Nice · 1.8 pts / match - PSG
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSG is 76% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - Nice · 2.16 goals / match - PSG
PSG is 110% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.85 goals / match - Nice · 0.88 goals / match - PSG
Nice scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while PSG keeps a clean sheet in 52% (13 of 25 matches).
PSG scores in 92% of matches (23 of 25 matches), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nice
Over / Under - PSG
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSG is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Nice · 1.88 pts / match - PSG
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
PSG - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nice
PSG
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Nice | Liga | PSG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.08 | 2.76 | ▲ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 50% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 30% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 70% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nice 0 - 0 - 1 PSG. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nice vs PSG?
The Ligue 1 match finished Nice 0:4 PSG. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nice vs PSG?
Nice score 1.23 goals per game on average and PSG 2.16. The Ligue 1 average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Nice's matches and 40% of PSG's.
What form are Nice and PSG in?
Over the last 5 games Nice have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and PSG 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nice vs PSG?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nice vs PSG: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.