Nice vs Rennes: match statistics
Rennes is displaying clearly superior form in their last five matches with a record of three wins and 1.8 points per game, while Nice has failed to win any of their last five fixtures, earning a mere 0.6 points per game. The hosts sit only 15th in the table with a negative season record (6-6-12), whereas Rennes occupies 7th place with a solid tally of 11 wins. Nice's home record shows just a 33% win rate and as many as 42% draws, indicating significant difficulties in breaking down opponents at their own ground. Rennes, despite a weaker away goal difference (-8), boasts better average possession (52% vs 47%) and comparable shot conversion in away matches. Taking into account the current form of both sides and the underlying statistics, I predict an away win, though the class difference is not substantial enough to completely rule out a draw or a surprise from the hosts.
Nice vs Rennes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nice played Rennes in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Nice: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Rennes: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nice scores 1.25 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Rennes scores 1.58 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nice 63%, Rennes 54%. Over 2.5: Nice 54%, Rennes 63%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Rennes has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.27. Nice: 11.5 shots per match, Rennes: 13.1.
Match halves
Nice: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.50. Rennes: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Nice: 31-45+ (8 goals). Rennes: 16-30 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rennes is displaying clearly superior form in their last five matches with a record of three wins and 1.8 points per game, while Nice has failed to win any of their last five fixtures, earning a mere 0.6 points per game. The hosts sit only 15th in the table with a negative season record (6-6-12), whereas Rennes occupies 7th place with a solid tally of 11 wins. Nice's home record shows just a 33% win rate and as many as 42% draws, indicating significant difficulties in breaking down opponents at their own ground. Rennes, despite a weaker away goal difference (-8), boasts better average possession (52% vs 47%) and comparable shot conversion in away matches. Taking into account the current form of both sides and the underlying statistics, I predict an away win, though the class difference is not substantial enough to completely rule out a draw or a surprise from the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nice | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rennes is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Nice · 1.8 pts / match - Rennes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rennes is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Nice · 1.58 goals / match - Rennes
Rennes is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Nice · 1.46 goals / match - Rennes
Nice scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Rennes keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
Rennes scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nice
Over / Under - Rennes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rennes is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Nice · 1.58 pts / match - Rennes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rennes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nice
Rennes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Nice | Liga | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.08 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 48% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 29% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nice 1 - 0 - 0 Rennes. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nice vs Rennes?
The Ligue 1 match finished Nice 0:4 Rennes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nice vs Rennes?
Nice score 1.25 goals per game on average and Rennes 1.58. The Ligue 1 average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Nice's matches and 54% of Rennes's.
What form are Nice and Rennes in?
Over the last 5 games Nice have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Rennes 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nice vs Rennes?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.