Nice vs Strasbourg: match statistics
Nice vs Strasbourg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nice played Strasbourg in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Allianz Riviera. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Nice: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Strasbourg: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nice scores 0.60 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Strasbourg scores 2.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nice 40%, Strasbourg 80%. Over 2.5: Nice 40%, Strasbourg 80%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Nice has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.33. Nice: 12.0 shots per match, Strasbourg: 11.6.
Match halves
Nice: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.20. Strasbourg: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.60.
Goals by minute
Nice: 16-30 (1 goals). Strasbourg: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nice have not lost any of their 3 home matches, recording 1 win and 2 draws, while Strasbourg have lost 2 of their 3 away games. The visitors are more dangerous in attack: away from home, they score an average of 2.33 goals and register 5 shots on target per match, compared with Nice’s 1 goal and 2.33 shots on target at home. However, Strasbourg’s 24% conversion rate may be difficult to sustain, as their away xG is 1.17, almost identical to the hosts’ 1.15. The key could be the defensive battle: Strasbourg concede an average of 2.67 goals away from home, with opponents posting an xG of 2.12, while Nice allow their opponents to score just 0.67 goals per game at home. Although the visitors have won 2 of their last 5 matches and the hosts just 1, the results under these conditions give Nice a narrow edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 100% of Nice’s home matches and 67% of Strasbourg’s away matches, supporting the case for both teams to score. Nice average 1.5 goals at home, while Strasbourg concede 2.67 goals away and allow opponents chances worth an average of 2.12 xG. The visitors average 2.33 goals away, while Nice concede 1.0 goal per match at home and allow opponents 1.65 xG. Caution is warranted, as Strasbourg failed to score in 33% of their away matches, and Nice have scored just 0.6 goals per match across their last five games. Even so, the stronger attacking indicators and the visitors’ weaker defence make BTTS - Yes the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: both teams have gone over this line in 100% of their matches so far, and the projected total is 3.1 goals. Nice average 1.5 goals at home, while Strasbourg concede 2.67 on the road; moreover, Strasbourg’s opponents average 2.12 xG, strengthening the outlook for goals from the home side. The visitors score an average of 2.33 goals away from home, although their xG is 1.17, so their finishing should be viewed with caution. In their last five matches, Strasbourg games went over 2.5 goals 80% of the time, compared with 40% for Nice, providing a weaker signal for the higher line than for Over 1.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Nice were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Strasbourg did so in 2 of 5; both teams averaged 0.4 first-half goals over that period. The case for a later home win is supported by their results in this matchup: Nice collected 4 points from 2 home matches, while Strasbourg lost 2 of their 3 away games. The difference could emerge after the break, as Nice averaged 1.5 goals at home in the second half, while Strasbourg conceded 2.0 on the road. The hosts also average 14.5 shots per match compared with the visitors' 9.67, and their xG stands at 1.57 versus Strasbourg's 1.17. However, the X/1 HT/FT pick is not a certainty: Strasbourg averaged 2.0 goals across their last 5 matches, while Nice averaged just 0.6, so X/2 remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nice | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Strasbourg is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Nice · 1.4 pts / match - Strasbourg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Strasbourg is 233% better for: goals scored per match.
0.6 goals / match - Nice · 2 goals / match - Strasbourg
Nice is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Nice · 2 goals / match - Strasbourg
Nice scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Strasbourg keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Strasbourg scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nice
Over / Under - Strasbourg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nice is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Nice · 1 pts / match - Strasbourg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Strasbourg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nice
Strasbourg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Nice | Liga | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.80 | 2.88 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 61% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 61% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nice 0 - 1 - 1 Strasbourg. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nice vs Strasbourg?
The Ligue 1 match finished Nice 2:1 Strasbourg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Strasbourg?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nice won 0, Strasbourg won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nice vs Strasbourg?
Nice score 0.60 goals per game on average and Strasbourg 2.00. The Ligue 1 average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Nice's matches and 80% of Strasbourg's.
What form are Nice and Strasbourg in?
Over the last 5 games Nice have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Strasbourg 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nice vs Strasbourg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nice vs Strasbourg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.