Nieciecza vs Górnik Zabrze: match statistics
Górnik Zabrze are showing clearly better form this season with 10 wins compared to Nieciecza's only 5 wins. The hosts have very poor home form with a 60% defeat rate and only a 20% win rate at their own stadium, which is an alarming signal. Górnik, despite their more difficult recent form (1.2 PPG), have better offensive statistics with a higher average xG (1.49 vs 1.41) and a better away record (33% wins). Nieciecza have a negative goal difference of -8 at home and concede an average of 1.9 goals per game, which, given the hosts' defensive issues, gives an advantage to the visitors. Taking into account all statistical data, Górnik Zabrze have a greater chance of securing three points, although the poor form of both teams could lead to a closely contested match.
Nieciecza vs Górnik Zabrze: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nieciecza played Górnik Zabrze in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 16 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Nieciecza: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Górnik Zabrze: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nieciecza scores 1.25 and concedes 1.85 goals per match. Górnik Zabrze scores 1.55 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nieciecza 65%, Górnik Zabrze 55%. Over 2.5: Nieciecza 50%, Górnik Zabrze 55%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Górnik Zabrze has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.47. Nieciecza: 12.1 shots per match, Górnik Zabrze: 16.6.
Match halves
Nieciecza: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.50. Górnik Zabrze: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Nieciecza: 76-90+ (7 goals). Górnik Zabrze: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Górnik Zabrze are showing clearly better form this season with 10 wins compared to Nieciecza's only 5 wins. The hosts have very poor home form with a 60% defeat rate and only a 20% win rate at their own stadium, which is an alarming signal. Górnik, despite their more difficult recent form (1.2 PPG), have better offensive statistics with a higher average xG (1.49 vs 1.41) and a better away record (33% wins). Nieciecza have a negative goal difference of -8 at home and concede an average of 1.9 goals per game, which, given the hosts' defensive issues, gives an advantage to the visitors. Taking into account all statistical data, Górnik Zabrze have a greater chance of securing three points, although the poor form of both teams could lead to a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nieciecza | Górnik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nieciecza is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Nieciecza · 0.8 pts / match - Górnik Zabrze
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Górnik Zabrze is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Nieciecza · 1.55 goals / match - Górnik Zabrze
Górnik Zabrze is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.85 goals / match - Nieciecza · 1.3 goals / match - Górnik Zabrze
Nieciecza scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Górnik Zabrze keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
Górnik Zabrze scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Nieciecza keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nieciecza
Over / Under - Górnik Zabrze
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nieciecza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Górnik Zabrze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nieciecza
Górnik Zabrze
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Nieciecza | Liga | Górnik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.10 | 2.78 | • 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 58% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 25% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 80% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nieciecza 1 - 0 - 0 Górnik Zabrze. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nieciecza vs Górnik Zabrze?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Nieciecza 1:1 Górnik Zabrze. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nieciecza vs Górnik Zabrze?
Nieciecza score 1.25 goals per game on average and Górnik Zabrze 1.55. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Nieciecza's matches and 55% of Górnik Zabrze's.
What form are Nieciecza and Górnik Zabrze in?
Over the last 5 games Nieciecza have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Górnik Zabrze 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nieciecza vs Górnik Zabrze?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nieciecza vs Górnik Zabrze: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.