Niger Tornadoes vs Barau: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Niger Tornadoes play Barau in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 28 December 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Niger Tornadoes: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Barau: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Niger Tornadoes scores 0.97 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Barau scores 0.89 and concedes 0.79. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Niger Tornadoes 26%, Barau 29%. Over 2.5: Niger Tornadoes 32%, Barau 26%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Niger Tornadoes has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.30. Niger Tornadoes: 8.9 shots per match, Barau: 4.7.

Match halves

Niger Tornadoes: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61. Barau: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Niger Tornadoes: 76-90+ (13 goals). Barau: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
Niger TornadoesBarau
14Shots8
Niger TornadoesBarau
4Shots on target3
Niger TornadoesBarau
1.61xG1.04
Niger TornadoesBarau
6Corners2
Niger TornadoesBarau
63Dangerous attacks45
Niger TornadoesBarau
7Fouls22
Niger TornadoesBarau
1Cards1
Niger TornadoesBarau

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Niger TornadoesBarau
0.97Goals scored / match0.89
Niger TornadoesBarau
0.95Goals conceded / match0.79
Niger TornadoesBarau
39%Average possession23%
Niger TornadoesBarau
2.74Shots on target / match0.97
Niger TornadoesBarau

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.89Shots per match4.74
Niger TornadoesBarau
2.74Shots on target0.97
Niger TornadoesBarau
10.9%Shot conversion18.9%
Niger TornadoesBarau
39%Possession23%
Niger TornadoesBarau
1.52xG for1.3
Niger TornadoesBarau
1.52xG against1.31
Niger TornadoesBarau

Shooting quality

Niger Tornadoes: BalancedBarau: Counter-attacking
Niger TornadoesBarau
Accuracy (shots on target)31%20%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.27
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.92

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Barau is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.8 pts / match - Barau

Niger Tornadoes
DLDDW
Season result split
34% W24% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-9-16
1.26 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-6-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Barau
WLWLW
Season result split
34% W34% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-13-12
1.37 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-8-10
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Niger Tornadoes is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

0.97 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes · 0.89 goals / match - Barau

Barau is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.95 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes · 0.79 goals / match - Barau

Niger Tornadoes scoring profile: mixed

Niger Tornadoes scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

Barau scoring profile: mixed

Barau scores in 45% of matches (17 of 38 matches), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 45% (17 of 38 matches).

37Goals scored (season)34
Niger TornadoesBarau
36Goals conceded (season)30
Niger TornadoesBarau
1.92Average goals in match1.68
Niger TornadoesBarau
3Goals scored (last 5)9
Niger TornadoesBarau
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
Niger TornadoesBarau

How often they score at least...

58%1 goal45%
Niger TornadoesBarau
26%2 goals29%
Niger TornadoesBarau
8%3 goals13%
Niger TornadoesBarau
5%4 goals3%
Niger TornadoesBarau

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal58%
Niger TornadoesBarau
34%2 goals21%
Niger TornadoesBarau
5%3 goals0%
Niger TornadoesBarau
0%4 goals0%
Niger TornadoesBarau

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time16%
Niger TornadoesBarau
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Niger TornadoesBarau
16%Scored in both halves21%
Niger TornadoesBarau

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
Niger TornadoesBarau
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Niger TornadoesBarau
20%BTTS - last 540%
Niger TornadoesBarau

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
Niger TornadoesBarau
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Niger TornadoesBarau
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Niger TornadoesBarau

2nd half

66%Min. 1 goal after half-time53%
Niger TornadoesBarau
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Niger TornadoesBarau
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
Niger TornadoesBarau

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Niger Tornadoes - half-time state
26% leading42% draw32% trailing
Barau - half-time state
21% leading55% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.18
Niger TornadoesBarau
0.37Goals scored (1st half)0.39
Niger TornadoesBarau
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
Niger TornadoesBarau
0.92Average goals (1st half)0.84
Niger TornadoesBarau
63%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Niger TornadoesBarau
68%No goal before half-time68%
Niger TornadoesBarau

After half-time (2nd half)

1.32Points per match (2nd half)1.39
Niger TornadoesBarau
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Niger TornadoesBarau
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)0.34
Niger TornadoesBarau
1Average goals (2nd half)0.84
Niger TornadoesBarau
63%Clean sheet after half-time74%
Niger TornadoesBarau
58%No goal after half-time66%
Niger TornadoesBarau

Niger Tornadoes - second-half results

29% W45% R26% P
46
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Barau - second-half results

29% W53% R18% P
45
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Niger Tornadoes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Barau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Niger Tornadoes
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
4
5
16-30
4
9
31-45
4
3
46-60
6
5
61-75
13
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Barau
ScoredConceded
1
8
0-15
5
3
16-30
9
6
31-45
2
4
46-60
11
6
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.80
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
28%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+67%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
26%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
23%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Niger Tornadoes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
164%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

Barau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Niger TornadoesLigaBarau
Average goals in match 1.922.02 1.68
Both teams scored 26%38% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 32%34% 26%
Clean sheets 45%37% 42%
Goal before half-time 63%61% 55%
Goal after half-time 66%64% 53%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Niger Tornadoes 0 - 0 - 1 Barau. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Niger Tornadoes vs Barau?

The NPFL match finished Niger Tornadoes 2:0 Barau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Niger Tornadoes vs Barau?

Niger Tornadoes score 0.97 goals per game on average and Barau 0.89. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Niger Tornadoes's matches and 29% of Barau's.

What form are Niger Tornadoes and Barau in?

Over the last 5 games Niger Tornadoes have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Barau 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Niger Tornadoes vs Barau?

The statistical background for Niger Tornadoes vs Barau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.