Nigeria - NPFLIlorin Township StadiumData current as of 15 October 2026

Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City: match statistics

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Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Niger Tornadoes play Ikorodu City in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Ilorin Township Stadium.

Current form

Niger Tornadoes: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ikorodu City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Niger Tornadoes scores 0.75 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Ikorodu City scores 1.25 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.41 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Niger Tornadoes 38%, Ikorodu City 38%. Over 2.5: Niger Tornadoes 25%, Ikorodu City 38%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Niger Tornadoes has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.53. Niger Tornadoes: 9.4 shots per match, Ikorodu City: 8.1.

Match halves

Niger Tornadoes: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63. Ikorodu City: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.38.

Goals by minute

Niger Tornadoes: 76-90+ (4 goals). Ikorodu City: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
0.75Goals scored / match1.25
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
0.88Goals conceded / match0.88
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
41%Average possession38%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
3.38Shots on target / match3.5
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.38Shots per match8.13
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
3.38Shots on target3.5
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
8%Shot conversion15.4%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
41%Possession38%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
1.82xG for1.53
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
1.42xG against1.06
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City

Shooting quality

Niger Tornadoes: BalancedIkorodu City: Counter-attacking
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
Accuracy (shots on target)36%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ikorodu City is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.4 pts / match - Ikorodu City

Niger Tornadoes
LDLWD
Season result split
25% W38% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-3
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 at home
2-2-0
WDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.79BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Ikorodu City
LWDLW
Season result split
38% W38% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-2
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
DLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ikorodu City is 67% better for: goals scored per match.

0.75 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.25 goals / match - Ikorodu City

Niger Tornadoes scoring profile: mixed

Niger Tornadoes scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Ikorodu City keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).

Ikorodu City scoring profile: strong

Ikorodu City scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

6Goals scored (season)10
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
7Goals conceded (season)7
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
1.63Average goals in match2.13
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
1Goals scored (last 5)5
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
2Goals conceded (last 5)4
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal63%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
25%2 goals50%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
0%3 goals13%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
0%4 goals0%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal50%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
13%2 goals38%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
13%3 goals0%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
0%4 goals0%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

44%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time25%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
13%Scored in both halves25%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
0%BTTS - last 520%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time13%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ikorodu City is 151% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.75 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.88 pts / match - Ikorodu City

Niger Tornadoes - half-time state
13% leading38% draw50% trailing
Ikorodu City - half-time state
50% leading38% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.75Points per match (1st half)1.88
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
0.13Goals scored (1st half)0.88
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
0.75Average goals (1st half)1.38
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
50%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
88%No goal before half-time50%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per match (2nd half)1.25
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
0.88Average goals (2nd half)0.75
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
75%Clean sheet after half-time75%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City
50%No goal after half-time63%
Niger TornadoesIkorodu City

Niger Tornadoes - second-half results

38% W63% D0% L
6
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding192%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ikorodu City - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Niger Tornadoes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match0.40.2
1 goal40%20%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Ikorodu City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Niger Tornadoes
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Ikorodu City
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
78%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+113%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
19%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Niger Tornadoes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
44%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
67% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
67%

Ikorodu City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
176%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Niger TornadoesLigaIkorodu City
Average goals in match▼ 1.632.41▼ 2.13
Both teams scored▼ 38%44%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 25%42%▼ 38%
Clean sheets▲ 38%35%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%71%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%68%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.41
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
35%
Clean sheets
1.70
Home goals / match
0.71
Away goals / match
+139%
Home attack advantage
+58%
Home defence advantage
+53%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Niger Tornadoes 1 - 0 - 1 Ikorodu City. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Ikorodu City
2 : 0
Niger Tornadoes
Niger Tornadoes
4 : 2
Ikorodu City

FAQ

When do Niger Tornadoes and Ikorodu City play?

Niger Tornadoes face Ikorodu City on 18 October 2026 in NPFL at Ilorin Township Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Niger Tornadoes and Ikorodu City?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Niger Tornadoes won 1, Ikorodu City won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City?

Niger Tornadoes score 0.75 goals per game on average and Ikorodu City 1.25. The NPFL average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Niger Tornadoes's matches and 38% of Ikorodu City's.

What form are Niger Tornadoes and Ikorodu City in?

Over the last 5 games Niger Tornadoes have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ikorodu City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.