Nigeria - NPFLIlorin Township StadiumData current as of 15 October 2026

Niger Tornadoes vs Kun Khalifat: match statistics

Niger Tornadoes crest
Niger Tornadoes
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Kun Khalifat crest
Kun Khalifat

Niger Tornadoes vs Kun Khalifat: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Niger Tornadoes played Kun Khalifat in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: Ilorin Township Stadium. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Niger Tornadoes: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Kun Khalifat: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Niger Tornadoes scores 0.83 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Kun Khalifat scores 0.83 and concedes 2.17. League average: 2.42 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Niger Tornadoes 50%, Kun Khalifat 33%. Over 2.5: Niger Tornadoes 33%, Kun Khalifat 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Niger Tornadoes has higher xG: 2.11 vs 0.00. Niger Tornadoes: 9.3 shots per match, Kun Khalifat: 2.2.

Match halves

Niger Tornadoes: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. Kun Khalifat: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Niger Tornadoes: 76-90+ (3 goals). Kun Khalifat: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Niger Tornadoes have failed to win any of their last 5 matches, but remain unbeaten at home, recording one win and 2 draws. Kun Khalifat have taken just 1 point from 3 away games, losing twice and conceding an average of 3 goals per match, while the hosts concede an average of 0.67 goals at home. Niger Tornadoes create chances worth an average of 2.52 xG on home soil, but score only 1 goal per match, highlighting their finishing problems. The visitors average 0.67 goals on the road and have failed to score in 67% of those matches, so the hosts’ defensive solidity and superior chance quality point towards a home win. However, Niger Tornadoes’ poor finishing and their 2 draws in 3 home games mean that a draw remains a significant possibility.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest case for BTTS - No is that Niger Tornadoes have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their home matches, while Kun Khalifat have failed to score in 67% of their away games. The visitors average just 0.67 goals and 1 shot per match on the road, limiting their chances of finding the net. Both teams have recorded BTTS in only 33% of matches under these conditions, below the league average of 44%. The visitors’ poor defense, conceding an average of 3 goals away from home, favors the hosts scoring, but does not mean Kun Khalifat will also get on the scoresheet. Even with both teams recording BTTS in 40% of their last five matches, the more likely scenario remains that at least one team will fail to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Kun Khalifat concede an average of 3.0 goals per match, giving Niger Tornadoes an opportunity to score, although the hosts have managed just 0.6 goals per match across their last 5 games. The visitors average 0.67 goals and have failed to score in 67% of their matches, so their contribution to the total could be limited. The Over 3.5 goals line has been hit in 67% of the visitors’ matches, but in only 33% of the hosts’ games; moreover, the two teams average just 1.67 goals combined per match. Despite the visitors’ poor defensive record, the limited attacking output of both sides points to Under 3.5 goals, with a projected total of 2.5 goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Niger Tornadoes were level at the break in 2 of their 3 home matches, while Kun Khalifat failed to score in the first half of any of their 3 away games. The hosts average just 0.33 goals before half-time, so despite their opponents’ weaknesses, an early lead is difficult to anticipate. After the break, the advantage should shift in their favour, as the visitors concede an average of 2 goals in the second halves of away matches, while the hosts score 0.67 goals during that period. Niger Tornadoes’ average of 1.33 points at home, compared with Kun Khalifat’s 0.33 points away, also supports a home win. However, the X/1 pick still carries risk: the hosts have not won any of their last 5 matches, so a draw after 90 minutes remains a significant possibility.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

63Possession (%)37
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
15Shots1
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
6Shots on target0
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
0xG0
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
13Corners2
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
0Dangerous attacks0
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
11Fouls30
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
0Cards0
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
0.83Goals scored / match0.83
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
1.17Goals conceded / match2.17
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
38%Average possession33%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
3.5Shots on target / match1
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.33Shots per match2.17
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
3.5Shots on target1
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
8.9%Shot conversion38.5%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
38%Possession33%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
2.11xG for0
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
1.1xG against0
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat

Shooting quality

Niger Tornadoes: BalancedKun Khalifat: Counter-attacking
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
Accuracy (shots on target)38%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.230.00
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.83

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kun Khalifat is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 0.8 pts / match - Kun Khalifat

Niger Tornadoes
LDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
17% W33% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-3
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 at home
1-2-0
WDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Kun Khalifat
DLLLW
Season result split
17% W33% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-3
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 away
0-1-2
DLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 0.00Opponent xG: 0.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Niger Tornadoes is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.17 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes · 2.17 goals / match - Kun Khalifat

Niger Tornadoes scoring profile: mixed

Niger Tornadoes scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Kun Khalifat keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

Kun Khalifat scoring profile: strong

Kun Khalifat scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

5Goals scored (season)5
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
7Goals conceded (season)13
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
2Average goals in match3
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
3Goals scored (last 5)5
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
6Goals conceded (last 5)13
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal50%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
33%2 goals33%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
0%3 goals0%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
0%4 goals0%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal50%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
17%2 goals50%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
17%3 goals50%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
0%4 goals50%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time17%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
0%BTTS in both halves17%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
17%Scored in both halves17%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
40%BTTS - last 540%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Niger Tornadoes is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 0.5 pts / match - Kun Khalifat

Niger Tornadoes - half-time state
17% leading17% draw67% trailing
Kun Khalifat - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)0.5
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
0.17Goals scored (1st half)0.17
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
1Average goals (1st half)1
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
33%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
83%No goal before half-time83%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)1.33
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
1Average goals (2nd half)2
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
67%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat
50%No goal after half-time50%
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat

Niger Tornadoes - second-half results

33% W67% D0% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kun Khalifat - second-half results

17% W50% D33% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Niger Tornadoes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.80
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.2
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-5+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Kun Khalifat - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.00
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.6
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Niger Tornadoes
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Kun Khalifat
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
4
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Niger Tornadoes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
51%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
60% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
60%

Kun Khalifat

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.83
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-2.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Niger TornadoesLigaKun Khalifat
Average goals in match▼ 2.002.42▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 50%46%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%42%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 17%33%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%71%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%71%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.42
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / match
0.78
Away goals / match
+110%
Home attack advantage
+52%
Home defence advantage
+47%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Niger TornadoesGoalIsmael Seriki

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Niger Tornadoes 0 - 1 - 1 Kun Khalifat. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Kun Khalifat
2 : 0
Niger Tornadoes
Niger Tornadoes
1 : 1
Kun Khalifat

FAQ

What was the result of Niger Tornadoes vs Kun Khalifat?

The NPFL match finished Niger Tornadoes 1:0 Kun Khalifat. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Niger Tornadoes and Kun Khalifat?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Niger Tornadoes won 0, Kun Khalifat won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Niger Tornadoes vs Kun Khalifat?

Niger Tornadoes score 0.83 goals per game on average and Kun Khalifat 0.83. The NPFL average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Niger Tornadoes's matches and 33% of Kun Khalifat's.

What form are Niger Tornadoes and Kun Khalifat in?

Over the last 5 games Niger Tornadoes have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Kun Khalifat 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Niger Tornadoes vs Kun Khalifat?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Niger Tornadoes vs Kun Khalifat: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.