Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars: match statistics
Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Niger Tornadoes played Shooting Stars in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Ilorin Township Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Niger Tornadoes: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Shooting Stars: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Niger Tornadoes scores 0.97 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Shooting Stars scores 1.11 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Niger Tornadoes 27%, Shooting Stars 41%. Over 2.5: Niger Tornadoes 32%, Shooting Stars 35%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Niger Tornadoes has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.28. Niger Tornadoes: 8.7 shots per match, Shooting Stars: 6.9.
Match halves
Niger Tornadoes: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.62. Shooting Stars: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Niger Tornadoes: 76-90+ (13 goals). Shooting Stars: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.00 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1): Niger Tornadoes possess a clear home-field advantage, averaging 15.19 shots and 5.19 shots on target per match, translating to 1.61 goals scored and only 0.50 conceded per home game. The home defence is solid — 72% of home matches end in a clean sheet, and their average home xG is 1.92 versus opponents’ xG 1.29, indicating superiority in quality of chances. Visitors Shooting Stars sit higher in the table (3rd) with 18 wins this season, but on the road they score just 0.44 goals per game, register 67% of matches without scoring and have a low conversion rate of 4%, while conceding 1.39 goals away, which undermines their attacking threat away from home. Form is mixed: Niger have scored only 2 goals in their last 5 matches and have failed to win any (0W, 3D, 2L), whereas Shooting Stars have 3 wins in their last 5 and PPG 2.0, but their away loss rate is 67%. Considering the hosts’ defensive solidity and home xG advantage, I assign a 61% probability to a Niger Tornadoes win, 22% to a draw and 17% to a Shooting Stars victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back “No” (both teams not to score) because Shooting Stars failed to score in 67% of their matches this season and average just 0.44 goals away. Niger Tornadoes average 1.74 goals at home, register 11 shots per match with 3.6 on target and have a season shot conversion of 15%, so the home side should create chances. xG analysis shows the hosts have xG 1.43 versus Shooting Stars’ average xG_against 1.57, while the visitors have xG_for 1.13 versus the hosts’ xG_against 0.78 — this indicates a solid potential for the home side to score, but not necessarily both teams. In the last 5 matches Niger have scored only 2 goals (0.4 per game) and had BTTS in 20% of those games, whereas Shooting Stars scored 6 in 5 (1.2 per game) with 40% BTTS, producing a mixed form picture. Considering season rates of 53% BTTS for hosts vs 28% for away, the very high share of scoreless matches for Shooting Stars (67%) and the league BTTS trend of 38% with 74% of matches featuring at least one clean sheet, I assess a 70% probability of No BTTS and 30% for BTTS (Goal/Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Home side average 1.74 goals per match, visitors 0.44; sum of seasonal goals per game is 2.18, while combined attacking xG equals 1.43 + 1.13 = 2.56 xG. If we compare attacking xG with opponents’ xG against (xG against Shooting Stars = 1.57, xG against Niger = 0.78) and average them, we get an expected 1.50 goals for Niger Tornadoes and 0.96 for Shooting Stars, totaling 2.46 expected goals. With that value the probabilistic model gives ~70% chance for Over 1.5, ~44% for Over 2.5 and ~23% for Over 3.5. Additionally, hosts average 11.0 shots and 3.6 shots on target at 15% conversion, while Shooting Stars have 9.18 shots and 2.82 on target at 4% conversion; historically the hosts have 47% of matches Over 2.5, visitors 22%, which lowers confidence in Over 2.5. For these reasons the strongest and safest signal is Over 1.5 (line 1.5), since the combined xG ≈2.56 and the hosts’ shooting profile favor at least two goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates a clear advantage for Niger Tornadoes: the hosts have won 79% of matches this season and average 1.74 goals per game versus 0.44 for Shooting Stars, with an average of 2.53 points per home match compared to 0.67 for away. At Half-Time the hosts led in 12 matches (63%) and average 0.95 goals by the break versus 0.17 for opponents, while conceding 0.32 goals by Half-Time compared to 0.72 for visitors, which strongly supports the hosts leading at Half-Time. Additionally, the hosts’ xG is 1.43 versus 1.13 for the guests, xG against 0.78 versus 1.57, with 3.6 shots on target against 2.82 and a conversion rate of 15% vs 4% — the hosts create and finish chances better. Considering a 63% chance to lead at the break and the season-long 79% home win rate, the strongest signal is maintaining the lead and ultimately winning, so I select 1/1 (53%). Alternatively I account for a draw at Half-Time followed by a home win (x/1 17%) or a draw for the final result (x/x 10%); a turnaround by Shooting Stars remains unlikely (1/2 2%, 2/2 3%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Niger Tornadoes | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.56 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shooting Stars is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 2 pts / match - Shooting Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shooting Stars is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.11 goals / match - Shooting Stars
Niger Tornadoes is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.05 goals / match - Shooting Stars
Niger Tornadoes scores in 57% of matches (21 of 37 matches), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 27% (10 of 37 matches).
Shooting Stars scores in 62% of matches (23 of 37 matches), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 43% (16 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Niger Tornadoes
Over / Under - Shooting Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shooting Stars is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.41 pts / match - Shooting Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Niger Tornadoes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shooting Stars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Niger Tornadoes
Shooting Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Niger Tornadoes | Liga | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.95 | 2.00 | ▲ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 38% | ▲ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 32% | 33% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 37% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 60% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 68% | 64% | • 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Niger Tornadoes 0 - 0 - 1 Shooting Stars. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars?
The NPFL match finished Niger Tornadoes 1:0 Shooting Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars?
Niger Tornadoes score 0.97 goals per game on average and Shooting Stars 1.11. The NPFL average is 2.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Niger Tornadoes's matches and 41% of Shooting Stars's.
What form are Niger Tornadoes and Shooting Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Niger Tornadoes have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Shooting Stars 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars?
The statistical background for Niger Tornadoes vs Shooting Stars — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.