Nigeria - NPFLLokoja Confluence StadiumData current as of 19 September 2026

Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Niger Tornadoes play Warri Wolves in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 23 September 2026. Venue: Lokoja Confluence Stadium.

Current form

Niger Tornadoes: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Warri Wolves: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Niger Tornadoes scores 1.67 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Warri Wolves scores 0.50 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Niger Tornadoes 100%, Warri Wolves 50%. Over 2.5: Niger Tornadoes 67%, Warri Wolves 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Niger Tornadoes has higher xG: 2.31 vs 0.90. Niger Tornadoes: 10.7 shots per match, Warri Wolves: 3.5.

Match halves

Niger Tornadoes: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33. Warri Wolves: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Niger Tornadoes: 76-90+ (3 goals). Warri Wolves: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
1.67Goals scored / match0.5
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
1.67Goals conceded / match2
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
40%Average possession18%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
4.33Shots on target / match-0.5
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.67Shots per match3.5
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
4.33Shots on target-0.5
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
15.6%Shot conversion14.3%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
40%Possession18%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
2.31xG for0.9
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
0.87xG against1.69
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves

Shooting quality

Niger Tornadoes: Counter-attackingWarri Wolves: Counter-attacking
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
Accuracy (shots on target)41%-14%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.220.26
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.00

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Niger Tornadoes
WLD
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 1.7xG: 2.31Opponent xG: 0.87BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 67%
Warri Wolves
LL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% D100% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.90Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Niger Tornadoes is 234% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes · 0.5 goals / match - Warri Wolves

Niger Tornadoes is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes · 2 goals / match - Warri Wolves

Niger Tornadoes scoring profile: very strong

Niger Tornadoes scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Warri Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

Warri Wolves scoring profile: very strong

Warri Wolves scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

5Goals scored (season)1
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
5Goals conceded (season)4
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
3.33Average goals in match2.5
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
5Goals scored (last 5)1
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal50%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
67%2 goals0%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
0%3 goals0%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
0%4 goals0%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
33%2 goals100%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
33%3 goals0%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
0%4 goals0%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time50%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
33%Scored in both halves0%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
100%BTTS - last 550%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Niger Tornadoes is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 0.5 pts / match - Warri Wolves

Niger Tornadoes - half-time state
33% leading0% draw67% trailing
Warri Wolves - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.5
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
1Goals conceded (1st half)1
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.5
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
33%Clean sheet before half-time0%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
67%No goal before half-time50%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per match (2nd half)0
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)0
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
2Average goals (2nd half)1
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
33%Clean sheet after half-time0%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves
0%No goal after half-time100%
Niger TornadoesWarri Wolves

Niger Tornadoes - second-half results

67% W33% D0% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Warri Wolves - second-half results

0% W0% D100% L
1
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Niger Tornadoes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.33
Goals scored / match0.31.3
Goals conceded / match1.00.7
Average goals in match1.32.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet33%33%
No goal67%0%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 33% leading - 0% draw - 67% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 33% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Warri Wolves - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.500.00
Goals scored / match0.50.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.51.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals50%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet0%0%
No goal50%100%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 50% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Niger Tornadoes
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Warri Wolves
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-66%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Niger Tornadoes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.80
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
201%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
60% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
60%

Warri Wolves

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.79
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 100% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Niger TornadoesLigaWarri Wolves
Average goals in match 3.332.71 2.50
Both teams scored 100%50% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%54% 50%
Clean sheets 0%29% 0%
Goal before half-time 100%83% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%79% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.88
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+127%
Home attack advantage
+56%
Home defence advantage
+59%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Niger Tornadoes 0 - 2 - 0 Warri Wolves. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Niger Tornadoes
0 : 0
Warri Wolves
Warri Wolves
1 : 1
Niger Tornadoes

FAQ

When do Niger Tornadoes and Warri Wolves play?

Niger Tornadoes face Warri Wolves on 23 September 2026 in NPFL at Lokoja Confluence Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Niger Tornadoes and Warri Wolves?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Niger Tornadoes won 0, Warri Wolves won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves?

Niger Tornadoes score 1.67 goals per game on average and Warri Wolves 0.50. The NPFL average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Niger Tornadoes's matches and 50% of Warri Wolves's.

What form are Niger Tornadoes and Warri Wolves in?

Over the last 5 games Niger Tornadoes have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Warri Wolves 0-0-2 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves?

The statistical background for Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.