NK Vrhnika vs Triglav: match statistics

NK Vrhnika have been highly efficient in their last five matches, scoring 19 goals—an average of 3.8 per game—compared with Triglav’s 7 goals, or 1.4 per game. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.4 points per game, while Triglav have recorded 3 wins, a draw and a defeat, averaging 2.0 points. The visitors’ defence appears slightly more stable, having conceded 5 goals in five appearances compared with Vrhnika’s 6, but the difference is marginal given the hosts’ significantly greater attacking output. Vrhnika are higher in the standings, in 13th place compared with Triglav’s 16th, and their advantage in goals scored supports a home win. The lack of complete season data on home and away performances increases the draw risk, but the current run of form and attacking strength favour the hosts.

NK Vrhnika recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.8 goals and conceding 1.2. Triglav have a significantly lower BTTS rate of just 20%, but they have also averaged 1.4 goals per match, giving them a realistic chance of exploiting the hosts’ less secure defence. The hosts allowed their opponents an xG of 1.26, while Triglav created an average of 1.32 xG, making an away goal a possible scenario. Vrhnika generated a very high 2.66 xG and scored 19 goals in five appearances, while Triglav conceded 5 goals during this period. The hosts’ strong attacking threat and the visitors’ sufficient scoring potential provide a slight lean towards BTTS: Yes.

The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as NK Vrhnika scored as many as 19 goals in their last five matches, averaging 3.8 per game. During this period, the hosts created chances worth an average of 2.66 xG, while Triglav conceded an average of 1.0 goal and allowed opponents 1.10 xG. Vrhnika’s matches went over 2.5 goals in 100% of their last five outings, and both teams scored in 80% of them, clearly increasing the baseline goal potential. Triglav scored only 1.4 goals per match in this run, but the hosts’ defense conceded 6 goals in five games, making an away goal a realistic scenario. Given the lack of complete seasonal data, the more cautious Over 1.5 goals line offers a clearer edge than the more demanding Over 2.5.

NK Vrhnika have shown clearly stronger attacking form, averaging 3.8 goals over their last five matches compared with Triglav’s 1.4. The hosts held a lead at the break in 75% of those games and scored an average of 1.5 goals before half-time, while the visitors managed only 0.4 first-half goals. After the interval, Vrhnika have continued to be highly effective, averaging 2.25 goals and conceding just 0.5, which supports their ability to protect an established advantage. Triglav are on a good run, with a 60% win rate across their last five matches, but their significantly lower goal output and Vrhnika’s first-half superiority point primarily towards the HT/FT outcome 1/1: the hosts to lead at the break and secure the full-time victory.