Nõmme Kalju vs Kuressaare: match statistics
Nõmme Kalju holds a clear advantage in this encounter, sitting in 2nd place with an impressive run of 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches (2.6 points per game). The hosts are unbeaten at home this season, having scored 8 goals and conceded just 3 in their last five matches overall. Kuressaare, on the other hand, occupies 7th place with a negative away record, having lost all their away matches so far this season (100% loss rate), failing to score a single goal on the road. xG statistics also favor the hosts – the visitors average 1.07 xG away while conceding 3.13 xG, indicating weaknesses both in attack and defense. The form of both teams (WDWWW vs LWWLW) combined with Nõmme Kalju's home dominance clearly points to a high probability of a home win.
Nõmme Kalju vs Kuressaare: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nõmme Kalju play Kuressaare in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 21 March 2026 at 11:30. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Nõmme Kalju: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Kuressaare: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nõmme Kalju scores 1.65 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Kuressaare scores 0.95 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nõmme Kalju 50%, Kuressaare 50%. Over 2.5: Nõmme Kalju 40%, Kuressaare 55%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Nõmme Kalju has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.43. Nõmme Kalju: 15.0 shots per match, Kuressaare: 11.4.
Match halves
Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.90. Kuressaare: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Nõmme Kalju: 61-75 (9 goals). Kuressaare: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 5-1-0. Average goals 1.83, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Nõmme Kalju holds a clear advantage in this encounter, sitting in 2nd place with an impressive run of 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches (2.6 points per game). The hosts are unbeaten at home this season, having scored 8 goals and conceded just 3 in their last five matches overall. Kuressaare, on the other hand, occupies 7th place with a negative away record, having lost all their away matches so far this season (100% loss rate), failing to score a single goal on the road. xG statistics also favor the hosts – the visitors average 1.07 xG away while conceding 3.13 xG, indicating weaknesses both in attack and defense. The form of both teams (WDWWW vs LWWLW) combined with Nõmme Kalju's home dominance clearly points to a high probability of a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nõmme Kalju | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nõmme Kalju is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju · 0.4 pts / match - Kuressaare
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme Kalju is 74% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 0.95 goals / match - Kuressaare
Nõmme Kalju is 106% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 1.65 goals / match - Kuressaare
Nõmme Kalju scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
Kuressaare scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nõmme Kalju
Over / Under — Kuressaare
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nõmme Kalju is 84% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju · 0.95 pts / match - Kuressaare
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nõmme Kalju - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kuressaare - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nõmme Kalju
Kuressaare
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Nõmme Kalju | Liga | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 3.11 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 66% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 23% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 88% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Nõmme Kalju 5 - 1 - 0 Kuressaare. Average goals 1.83, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nõmme Kalju vs Kuressaare?
The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme Kalju 4:0 Kuressaare. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme Kalju and Kuressaare?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Nõmme Kalju won 5, Kuressaare won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme Kalju vs Kuressaare?
Nõmme Kalju score 1.65 goals per game on average and Kuressaare 0.95. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nõmme Kalju's matches and 50% of Kuressaare's.
What form are Nõmme Kalju and Kuressaare in?
Over the last 5 games Nõmme Kalju have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Kuressaare 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme Kalju vs Kuressaare?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nõmme Kalju vs Kuressaare: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.