Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Flora: match statistics
Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nõmme United played Tallinna FC Flora in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Männiku staadion. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Nõmme United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Tallinna FC Flora: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nõmme United scores 1.63 and concedes 2.30 goals per match. Tallinna FC Flora scores 1.96 and concedes 1.30. League average: 3.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nõmme United 81%, Tallinna FC Flora 56%. Over 2.5: Nõmme United 89%, Tallinna FC Flora 81%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.50. Nõmme United: 11.6 shots per match, Tallinna FC Flora: 15.8.
Match halves
Nõmme United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.96. Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Nõmme United: 76-90+ (11 goals). Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.12 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tallinna FC Flora sit 2nd, while Nõmme United are only 9th, and the visitors have won 16 matches this season compared with the hosts’ 8 victories. Away from home, Flora win 67% of their matches and concede an average of just 1.33 goals, whereas Nõmme United lose 69% of their home games and allow opponents to score 2.08 goals per match. The visitors’ superiority is also evident in chance creation: their average away xG is 2.04, compared with the hosts’ 1.65, while they limit opponents to an xG of 1.22 versus Nõmme’s 1.99. Flora average 16.75 shots and 5.5 shots on target per away match, while the hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in any home game. Both teams have recently scored 9 and 7 goals respectively across their last five matches, but stronger defensive organisation and the higher quality of chances created point towards an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is clear, as Nõmme United have recorded BTTS in 57% of their matches, while Flora have seen this scenario in 100% of their last 5 games. The hosts score an average of 2.14 goals per match, compared with 1.75 for the visitors, supported by high xG values of 1.89 for Nõmme and 2.04 for Flora. Both defenses allow opponents to create chances, as reflected in their season averages of 1.21 and 1.33 goals conceded, as well as 1.8 goals conceded by each team across their last 5 appearances. Nõmme’s defense has been particularly vulnerable recently, with opponents generating an average of 2.35 xG, while Flora record an average of 5.5 shots on target per match. The risk is somewhat reduced by clean-sheet rates of 36% for the hosts and 33% for the visitors, but current attacking and defensive form provides stronger support for the BTTS - Yes option.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile clearly favors goals: Nõmme United score an average of 2.14 goals per game, while Flora average 1.75, compared with a league average of 3.10 goals. The 1.5 line has been exceeded in 86% of Nõmme’s matches and in as many as 92% of Flora’s fixtures, providing very strong support for the Over. Both teams also create plenty of chances, with average xG of 1.89 for the hosts and 2.04 for the visitors, while Flora register an average of 16.75 shots per game. In their last five matches, Flora recorded Over 2.5 in 100% of cases, while both teams conceded 1.8 goals per game during this period. The safest selection is Over 1.5, as it requires just two goals to land, and the season data and current form point to a projection of around 3.40 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tallinna FC Flora have the stronger case for victory: they score an average of 1.75 goals per match, with an xG of 2.04, while Nõmme United allow opponents an xG of 1.61. The visitors have won 67% of their matches this season and have prevailed in 60% of their last five games, compared with just 40% wins for the hosts. Particularly significant is their recent first-half form: Flora were leading at the break in 60% of their last five appearances and scored an average of 1.4 goals in those matches, compared with Nõmme United’s 0.8. The hosts remain dangerous, having led at half-time in 43% of their matches this season, but their recent average of 1.8 goals conceded per game, combined with Flora’s superior attacking quality, points towards a scenario in which the visitors lead at the break and go on to win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nõmme United | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Flora is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Nõmme United · 1.4 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Flora is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Nõmme United · 1.96 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora is 77% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.3 goals / match - Nõmme United · 1.3 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Nõmme United scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
Tallinna FC Flora scores in 89% of matches (24 of 27 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nõmme United
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Flora
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Flora is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Nõmme United · 1.52 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nõmme United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nõmme United
Tallinna FC Flora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Nõmme United | Liga | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.93 | 3.12 | ▲ 3.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 81% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 89% | 65% | ▲ 81% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 88% | • 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Nõmme United 1 - 0 - 2 Tallinna FC Flora. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Flora?
The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme United 2:3 Tallinna FC Flora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme United and Tallinna FC Flora?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nõmme United won 1, Tallinna FC Flora won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Flora?
Nõmme United score 1.63 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Flora 1.96. The Meistriliiga average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 81% of Nõmme United's matches and 56% of Tallinna FC Flora's.
What form are Nõmme United and Tallinna FC Flora in?
Over the last 5 games Nõmme United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Tallinna FC Flora 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Flora?
The statistical background for Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Flora — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.