Estonia - MeistriliigaMänniku staadionData current as of 08 September 2026

Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Flora: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nõmme United play Tallinna FC Flora in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 12 September 2026. Venue: Männiku staadion.

Current form

Nõmme United: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Tallinna FC Flora: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nõmme United scores 1.62 and concedes 2.35 goals per match. Tallinna FC Flora scores 1.96 and concedes 1.27. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nõmme United 81%, Tallinna FC Flora 54%. Over 2.5: Nõmme United 88%, Tallinna FC Flora 81%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 1.96 vs 1.48. Nõmme United: 11.6 shots per match, Tallinna FC Flora: 15.9.

Match halves

Nõmme United: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 1.00. Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.04.

Goals by minute

Nõmme United: 76-90+ (11 goals). Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
1.62Goals scored / match1.96
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
2.35Goals conceded / match1.27
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
47%Average possession58%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
4.04Shots on target / match5.27
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.58Shots per match15.88
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
4.04Shots on target5.27
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
14%Shot conversion12.3%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
47%Possession58%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
1.48xG for1.96
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
2.08xG against1.43
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora

Shooting quality

Nõmme United: Counter-attackingTallinna FC Flora: Dominant
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nõmme United
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
31% W4% R65% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-17
0.96 pts / match · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-9
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 2.64BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Tallinna FC Flora
WLLWW
Season result split
62% W0% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-0-10
1.85 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-0-4
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Flora is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

1.62 goals / match - Nõmme United · 1.96 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora

Tallinna FC Flora is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.35 goals / match - Nõmme United · 1.27 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora

Nõmme United scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme United scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).

Tallinna FC Flora scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Flora scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 26 matches).

42Goals scored (season)51
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
61Goals conceded (season)33
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
3.96Average goals in match3.23
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
2Goals scored (last 5)9
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
13Goals conceded (last 5)9
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal88%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
38%2 goals58%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
19%3 goals27%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
8%4 goals12%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal65%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
65%2 goals38%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
38%3 goals19%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
15%4 goals4%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
Tallinna FC Flora - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 26 matches
59%
League average

Goal patterns

35%BTTS at half-time27%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
4%BTTS in both halves4%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
19%Scored in both halves38%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora

BTTS and goal count

77%Min. 3 goals and BTTS54%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS27%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
40%BTTS - last 5100%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
58%Min. 2 goals before half-time54%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
23%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora

2nd half

96%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
65%Min. 2 goals after half-time54%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Flora is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.88 pts / match - Nõmme United · 1.54 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora

Nõmme United - half-time state
19% leading31% draw50% trailing
Tallinna FC Flora - half-time state
38% leading38% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.88Points per match (1st half)1.54
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
0.62Goals scored (1st half)0.92
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
1.15Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
1.77Average goals (1st half)1.54
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
23%Clean sheet before half-time54%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
54%No goal before half-time42%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora

After half-time (2nd half)

1.15Points per match (2nd half)1.77
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.04
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
1.19Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
2.19Average goals (2nd half)1.69
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
23%Clean sheet after half-time62%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora
46%No goal after half-time31%
Nõmme UnitedTallinna FC Flora

Nõmme United - second-half results

31% W23% R46% P
23
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding163%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results

54% W15% R31% P
40
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.54
PPG before half-time
Lead holding163%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nõmme United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.20
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.6
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-7
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Tallinna FC Flora - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.40
Goals scored / match1.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match2.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+4-4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nõmme United
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
6
14
16-30
7
9
31-45
8
9
46-60
7
7
61-75
11
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Tallinna FC Flora
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
10
7
16-30
8
6
31-45
9
5
46-60
11
4
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.60
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nõmme United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
175%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.96
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Tallinna FC Flora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Nõmme UnitedLigaTallinna FC Flora
Average goals in match 3.963.10 3.23
Both teams scored 81%59% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 88%65% 81%
Clean sheets 0%22% 35%
Goal before half-time 88%75% 77%
Goal after half-time 96%88% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Nõmme United 1 - 0 - 2 Tallinna FC Flora. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

When do Nõmme United and Tallinna FC Flora play?

Nõmme United face Tallinna FC Flora on 12 September 2026 in Meistriliiga at Männiku staadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme United and Tallinna FC Flora?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nõmme United won 1, Tallinna FC Flora won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Flora?

Nõmme United score 1.62 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Flora 1.96. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 81% of Nõmme United's matches and 54% of Tallinna FC Flora's.

What form are Nõmme United and Tallinna FC Flora in?

Over the last 5 games Nõmme United have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Tallinna FC Flora 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Flora?

The statistical background for Nõmme United vs Tallinna FC Flora — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.