Nordsjælland vs Brøndby: match statistics
Nordsjælland vs Brøndby: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nordsjælland played Brøndby in Superliga (Denmark). The match was played on 7 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Nordsjælland: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Brøndby: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nordsjælland scores 1.67 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Brøndby scores 1.29 and concedes 0.96. League average: 3.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nordsjælland 46%, Brøndby 33%. Over 2.5: Nordsjælland 67%, Brøndby 38%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Brøndby has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.59. Nordsjælland: 13.0 shots per match, Brøndby: 13.9.
Match halves
Nordsjælland: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.92. Brøndby: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Nordsjælland: 31-45+ (9 goals). Brøndby: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 3.07 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nordsjælland holds a clear home offensive edge: on average 2.0 goals per home match versus Brøndby’s 1.0 goals away, and the hosts have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches while Brøndby failed to score in that period. The hosts generate more high-quality chances — home xG of 1.79 and 6.42 shots on target per match, compared to xG 1.56 and 4.42 shots on target for Brøndby away; Nordsjælland’s conversion rate is 14% versus 7% for the visitors. Defensively, however, Brøndby are solid on the road: they concede only 0.67 goals per away match and keep 50% clean sheets, while Nordsjælland concedes 1.17 goals at home; additionally the visitors fail to score in 50% of their away fixtures. Recent form favors the hosts — Nordsjælland have 3 wins and average 2.0 points per match in the last 5, while Brøndby have 0 wins and just 0.6 points per match in that span. Considering Nordsjælland’s superior shot efficiency and chance creation and Brøndby’s scoring crisis, I predict a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Brøndby this season has only 17% of matches with both teams scoring, and in the last 5 fixtures the away side failed to score a single goal (0 goals in 5 matches), which is the strongest signal against BTTS. Nordsjælland averages 1.58 goals per game (40 goals this season) and has scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches (1.8 avg), so the home side is favored to register at least one strike. Although xG indicates similar expected goals (home xG 1.66 vs away xG 1.56) and the league has a high BTTS rate of 59%, Brøndby’s low efficiency (1.0 goals per game on average and a 7% conversion rate) and 50% share of clean sheets significantly reduce the probability of them scoring. Additionally, Nordsjælland has a better conversion (11%) and averages 4.75 shots on target versus 4.42 for the away team, increasing the chance of only one side scoring. Therefore I assign a 70% probability to 'No' (both teams will not score) and 30% to 'Yes', because signals of away-team goallessness (0 goals in last 5, 17% seasonal BTTS) dominate despite the home side’s regular scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimated expected goals at 1.54 for Nordsjælland (attack xG 1.66 and away xG conceded 1.42 → (1.66+1.42)/2=1.54) and 1.51 for Brøndby (1.56 and 1.46 → 1.51), total 3.05. A probability model with aggregate λ=3.05 yields about 81% chance of Over 1.5, 59% for Over 2.5 and 36% for Over 3.5. This is supported by Nordsjælland averaging 1.58 goals per game and having 58% of home matches over 2.5, while Brøndby scores 1.0 goals on the road on average with only 17% of away games finishing Over 2.5. Additionally, Brøndby shows a low finishing rate of 7% and has failed to score in the last 5 matches (0 goals with xG 1.24), indicating finishing issues despite created chances. Considering the projected total 3.05, the league average 3.09 and the high frequency of Over 0.5 (83%) for both teams, the strongest signal is a play on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nordsjælland led at the break in 6 matches (50%) versus Brøndby in only 4 (33%), and the home side average 0.92 goals by half-time compared to 0.67 for the visitors, which favors the hosts in the first half. Over the full match Nordsjælland score an average of 1.58 goals versus 1.00 for Brøndby and exhibit superior finishing efficiency (conversion rate 11% vs 7%), and in the last 5 fixtures the hosts have won 3 of 5 (60%) while Brøndby registered no wins (0%), increasing the hosts’ probability of an eventual victory. The hosts generate higher xG (1.66 vs 1.56) and more shots on target (4.75 vs 4.42), so with a lead at the break they possess the statistical tools to maintain the lead and convert it into a win. Although Brøndby have a higher clean sheet percentage this season (50% vs 33%), their offensive form is weak – in the last 5 matches they averaged 0.0 goals scored and 0.4 conceded – therefore the strongest signal from the data is the 1/1 scenario (35%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nordsjælland | Brøndby | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nordsjælland is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Nordsjælland · 0.6 pts / match - Brøndby
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nordsjælland is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Nordsjælland · 1.29 goals / match - Brøndby
Brøndby is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Nordsjælland · 0.96 goals / match - Brøndby
Nordsjælland scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Brøndby keeps a clean sheet in 42% (10 of 24 matches).
Brøndby scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Nordsjælland keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nordsjælland
Over / Under - Brøndby
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brøndby is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Nordsjælland · 1.67 pts / match - Brøndby
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nordsjælland - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Brøndby - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nordsjælland
Brøndby
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Nordsjælland | Liga | Brøndby | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 3.07 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 59% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 23% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▼ 54% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nordsjælland 0 - 0 - 2 Brøndby. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nordsjælland vs Brøndby?
The Superliga match finished Nordsjælland 2:1 Brøndby. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nordsjælland and Brøndby?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nordsjælland won 0, Brøndby won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nordsjælland vs Brøndby?
Nordsjælland score 1.67 goals per game on average and Brøndby 1.29. The Superliga average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Nordsjælland's matches and 33% of Brøndby's.
What form are Nordsjælland and Brøndby in?
Over the last 5 games Nordsjælland have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Brøndby 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nordsjælland vs Brøndby?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nordsjælland vs Brøndby: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.