Nordsjælland vs Viborg: match statistics
Nordsjælland vs Viborg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nordsjælland played Viborg in Superliga (Denmark). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Nordsjælland: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Viborg: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nordsjælland scores 1.65 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Viborg scores 1.62 and concedes 1.46. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nordsjælland 50%, Viborg 62%. Over 2.5: Nordsjælland 65%, Viborg 62%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Nordsjælland has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.45. Nordsjælland: 12.8 shots per match, Viborg: 12.8.
Match halves
Nordsjælland: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.92. Viborg: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Nordsjælland: 31-45+ (9 goals). Viborg: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1). Nordsjælland score on average 2.0 goals per home match, while Viborg register 1.31 goals away, and the season goal tally is 43 vs 42 in favor of the hosts. The hosts have the edge in attacking quality: 6.46 shots on target per match versus the visitors’ 4.62 and a higher conversion rate 14% vs 9%, as well as higher average xG at home 1.79 vs 1.58 for Viborg. Additionally, Nordsjælland are less likely to be kept scoreless (8% of matches without a goal vs 23% for Viborg) and earn 2.0 points on average in the last 5 matches compared to Viborg’s 1.4. Defences of both teams are similar (on average 1.15 conceded by the home side vs 1.23 conceded by the visitors away), but a 59% to 49% possession advantage and superior offensive metrics favor the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics favor a BTTS scenario: Nordsjælland has a home BTTS rate of 85% versus Viborg’s 38% away, with the league average at 60%. Nordsjælland scores 1.92 and concedes 1.69 per game, while Viborg averages 1.31 scored and 1.23 conceded — both sides consistently create scoring chances. In the last 5 matches BTTS stands at 60% for both teams, with average goals 1.4 for the home side and 1.2 for the away, and average goals conceded 0.8 and 1.0, confirming a tendency for goal exchange in form. xG is 1.32 for Nordsjælland and 1.58 for Viborg with xG against 1.52 and 1.55, and shot conversion 17% versus 9% suggests the home team converts chances more efficiently. Considering the 85% home BTTS, 60% in the last 5 matches and the fact that 77% of Nordsjælland’s games are over 2.5 goals, I assess BTTS probability at 65% vs 35% and recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Projected xG is 1.32 for Nordsjælland (home) and 1.58 for Viborg (away), with xG conceded of 1.52 (Nordsjælland) and 1.55 (Viborg); this yields expected goals of 1.44 for the home side and 1.55 for the visitors (total 2.99). Seasonally Nordsjælland scores 1.92 at home and concedes 1.69, while Viborg away scores 1.31 and concedes 1.23; the league averages 3.08 goals per match. From a Poisson distribution with combined mu=2.99 I calculated probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈80%, Over 2.5 ≈57% and Over 3.5 ≈35% (Under respectively 20%, 43%, 65%). Additionally, Nordsjælland at home has 77% matches over 2.5 and 85% BTTS, while Viborg has 46% clean sheets away; Nordsjælland converts 17% from an average of 11.38 shots, and Viborg averages 14.15 shots with a 9% conversion, which supports a scenario of at least two goals. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (line 1.5) with an estimated probability of ~80% and a statistical edge versus higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nordsjælland has a clear advantage in the first half: they led at the break in 46% of matches and average 1.38 goals by half-time versus 0.23 for Viborg (29 HT goals vs 10), hence a high probability of the home side leading. Viborg does generate higher xG (1.58 vs 1.32 for Nords) and is dangerous after the break (on average 1.08 goals after half-time, with 8 strikes in minutes 46–60), but Nords is much more clinical in finishing (shot conversion 17% vs 9%) and has better home form (last 5 matches: 60% wins vs 40% for Viborg). For these reasons I assigned the largest share to the 1/1 scenario (30%), while accounting for comeback risk (1/X 12%, 1/2 4%). If the score is level at half-time (38% chance according to the data), I treat the full-time distribution more evenly (X/1 12%, X/X 16%, X/2 10%) due to both teams’ attacking activity after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nordsjælland | Viborg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Viborg is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Nordsjælland · 1.46 goals / match - Viborg
Nordsjælland scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Viborg keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
Viborg scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while Nordsjælland keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nordsjælland
Over / Under - Viborg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nordsjælland is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Nordsjælland · 1.27 pts / match - Viborg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nordsjælland - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Viborg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nordsjælland
Viborg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Nordsjælland | Liga | Viborg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.23 | 3.09 | • 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 60% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 23% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nordsjælland 1 - 0 - 1 Viborg. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nordsjælland vs Viborg?
The Superliga match finished Nordsjælland 2:1 Viborg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nordsjælland and Viborg?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nordsjælland won 1, Viborg won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nordsjælland vs Viborg?
Nordsjælland score 1.65 goals per game on average and Viborg 1.62. The Superliga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nordsjælland's matches and 62% of Viborg's.
What form are Nordsjælland and Viborg in?
Over the last 5 games Nordsjælland have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Viborg 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nordsjælland vs Viborg?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.