North Texas vs Los Angeles II: match statistics
North Texas vs Los Angeles II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
North Texas played Los Angeles II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 26 July 2026. Venue: Toyota Stadium. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
North Texas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Los Angeles II: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
North Texas scores 1.59 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Los Angeles II scores 1.56 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: North Texas 47%, Los Angeles II 72%. Over 2.5: North Texas 47%, Los Angeles II 67%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Los Angeles II has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.37. North Texas: 11.1 shots per match, Los Angeles II: 14.5.
Match halves
North Texas: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.88. Los Angeles II: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
North Texas: 31-45+ (7 goals). Los Angeles II: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win: North Texas averages 2.5 goals per home match (avg xG 1.65) and has a 50% home win rate, while Los Angeles II scores only 1.38 goals on the road (avg xG 1.85) and has a 13% away win rate. The hosts’ key advantage is higher finishing efficiency — shot conversion 19% versus the visitors’ 9% — and the fact that Los Angeles II concedes an average of 2.5 goals away compared to North Texas conceding 1.33 at home. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 5 and conceded 4 (record 2-1-2, 1.4 pts per game), while the visitors scored 6 and conceded 5 (record 2-2-1, 1.6 pts per game). North Texas has a positive home goal difference (+7), whereas Los Angeles II records -9 in away goal difference. Both teams create plenty of chances (avg 13.17 shots and 6 on target for the hosts vs 15 shots and 6 on target for the visitors) and matches feature high average goals (3.83 vs 3.88), so I expect an open, goalscoring game, but give the hosts the better chances.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rate is 70% for North Texas and 75% for Los Angeles II, versus a league average of 61%, indicating a strong propensity for both teams to produce Goal/Goal matches. Los Angeles II concedes an average of 2.5 goals per game and has 0% clean sheets, while North Texas concedes 1.0; hosts score 1.7 goals on average versus 1.38 for visitors, which increases the likelihood both teams will find the net. xG confirms offensive potential — xG 1.72 for North Texas vs 1.85 for Los Angeles II, with 5.2 vs 6.0 shots on target and 14.1 vs 15.0 total shots; despite Los Angeles’ lower conversion (9% vs 12%), their xG and shots on target indicate real chances. However, BTTS has dropped in the last 5 matches to 20% for North Texas and 40% for Los Angeles II, and the hosts have scored only 1.0 goal on average in that period, which slightly lowers confidence in the pick. Considering the seasonal 70%/75%, the visitors’ 0% clean sheets, high seasonal over 2.5 (60% and 75%) and current xG/shots, I assign 74% to BTTS - Yes and 26% to No Goal; therefore I recommend backing Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and defensive data projects 1.73 goals for North Texas (xG_for 1.72 vs xG_against_away 1.74) and 1.63 for Los Angeles II (xG_for 1.85 vs xG_against_home 1.41), totaling 3.36 goals. Seasonal metrics support this view: North Texas has 70% of matches over 1.5 goals, Los Angeles II 100%, and Over 2.5 occurs in 60% and 75% of games respectively. Both teams frequently both score (BTTS 70% for hosts and 75% for visitors), record 5.2 and 6.0 shots on target, and in the last 5 matches Los Angeles has xG 2.02 and has scored 6 goals. Under a Poisson distribution with a mean of 3.36, the probability of at least 2 goals is about 85%, therefore the strongest data signal is to play Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
North Texas displays a clear advantage: on average +2.1 points per game versus +0.75 for Los Angeles II and a 60% win rate compared to 13% for the visitors. The hosts are particularly strong after the break — they score on average 1.1 goals and concede only 0.2 in second halves, winning 60% of second halves and posting a +9 second-half goal difference. The visitors, by contrast, concede on average 1.25 goals after the break and win only 25% of second halves, which favors the hosts mounting comebacks. In the last five matches North Texas were level at half-time in 5 of 5 games (100%), while Los Angeles II were level in 3 of 5 (60%), so a half-time draw is highly probable. The combination of frequent half-time draws and the hosts’ post-break dominance makes the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario draw/home (X/1) the most justified.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| North Texas | Los Angeles II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Los Angeles II is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - North Texas · 1.6 pts / match - Los Angeles II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
North Texas is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - North Texas · 1.67 goals / match - Los Angeles II
North Texas scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Los Angeles II keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
Los Angeles II scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while North Texas keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - North Texas
Over / Under - Los Angeles II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
North Texas is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - North Texas · 0.94 pts / match - Los Angeles II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
North Texas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Los Angeles II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
North Texas
Los Angeles II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| North Texas | Liga | Los Angeles II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.82 | 3.24 | • 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 60% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 66% | • 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 22% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 84% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): North Texas 1 - 1 - 0 Los Angeles II. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of North Texas vs Los Angeles II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished North Texas 2:2 Los Angeles II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between North Texas and Los Angeles II?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches North Texas won 1, Los Angeles II won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before North Texas vs Los Angeles II?
North Texas score 1.59 goals per game on average and Los Angeles II 1.56. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 47% of North Texas's matches and 72% of Los Angeles II's.
What form are North Texas and Los Angeles II in?
Over the last 5 games North Texas have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Los Angeles II 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for North Texas vs Los Angeles II?
The statistical background for North Texas vs Los Angeles II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.