North Texas vs Real Monarchs: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
North Texas vs Real Monarchs: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
North Texas play Real Monarchs in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 5 September 2026.
Current form
North Texas: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Real Monarchs: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
North Texas scores 1.46 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Real Monarchs scores 1.46 and concedes 1.92. League average: 3.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: North Texas 54%, Real Monarchs 54%. Over 2.5: North Texas 50%, Real Monarchs 75%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Real Monarchs has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.50. North Texas: 12.1 shots per match, Real Monarchs: 13.4.
Match halves
North Texas: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88. Real Monarchs: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
North Texas: 31-45+ (9 goals). Real Monarchs: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.33 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| North Texas | Real Monarchs | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
North Texas is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - North Texas · 0.6 pts / match - Real Monarchs
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
North Texas is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - North Texas · 1.92 goals / match - Real Monarchs
North Texas scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Real Monarchs keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
Real Monarchs scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while North Texas keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - North Texas
Over / Under - Real Monarchs
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
North Texas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Real Monarchs - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
North Texas
Real Monarchs
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| North Texas | Liga | Real Monarchs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.92 | 3.33 | • 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 62% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 85% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): North Texas 0 - 1 - 1 Real Monarchs. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do North Texas and Real Monarchs play?
North Texas face Real Monarchs on 5 September 2026 in MLS Next Pro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between North Texas and Real Monarchs?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches North Texas won 0, Real Monarchs won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before North Texas vs Real Monarchs?
North Texas score 1.46 goals per game on average and Real Monarchs 1.46. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 54% of North Texas's matches and 54% of Real Monarchs's.
What form are North Texas and Real Monarchs in?
Over the last 5 games North Texas have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Real Monarchs 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for North Texas vs Real Monarchs?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.