Northampton Town vs Burton Albion: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams in this fixture. Northampton Town may occupy a lower position in the table (23rd place), but they are playing at home, where they have a 33% win rate and score an average of 1.06 goals per game. Burton Albion shows poor away form with only a 17% win rate on the road and an average of 1.56 goals conceded. The recent form of both teams is unsatisfactory - Northampton has earned only 0.2 PPG in their last five matches, while Burton is slightly better with 1.0 PPG. A key factor is Burton's high draw percentage away from home (39%), which, combined with the hosts' poor disposition, suggests a sharing of the points. The xG statistics are close for both teams, further confirming the prediction of a draw.
Northampton Town vs Burton Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Northampton Town played Burton Albion in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Northampton Town: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Burton Albion: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Northampton Town scores 0.86 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Burton Albion scores 1.08 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Northampton Town 42%, Burton Albion 44%. Over 2.5: Northampton Town 42%, Burton Albion 56%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Burton Albion has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.13. Northampton Town: 9.3 shots per match, Burton Albion: 11.4.
Match halves
Northampton Town: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.53. Burton Albion: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Northampton Town: 46-60 (8 goals). Burton Albion: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams in this fixture. Northampton Town may occupy a lower position in the table (23rd place), but they are playing at home, where they have a 33% win rate and score an average of 1.06 goals per game. Burton Albion shows poor away form with only a 17% win rate on the road and an average of 1.56 goals conceded. The recent form of both teams is unsatisfactory - Northampton has earned only 0.2 PPG in their last five matches, while Burton is slightly better with 1.0 PPG. A key factor is Burton's high draw percentage away from home (39%), which, combined with the hosts' poor disposition, suggests a sharing of the points. The xG statistics are close for both teams, further confirming the prediction of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Northampton Town | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Burton Albion is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Northampton Town · 1 pts / match - Burton Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burton Albion is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Northampton Town · 1.08 goals / match - Burton Albion
Northampton Town is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Northampton Town · 1.42 goals / match - Burton Albion
Northampton Town scores in 56% of matches (20 of 36 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
Burton Albion scores in 61% of matches (22 of 36 matches), while Northampton Town keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Northampton Town
Over / Under - Burton Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Burton Albion is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Northampton Town · 1.14 pts / match - Burton Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Northampton Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Northampton Town
Burton Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Northampton Town | Liga | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.19 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Northampton Town 0 - 0 - 1 Burton Albion. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Northampton Town vs Burton Albion?
The EFL League One match finished Northampton Town 0:2 Burton Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Northampton Town vs Burton Albion?
Northampton Town score 0.86 goals per game on average and Burton Albion 1.08. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Northampton Town's matches and 44% of Burton Albion's.
What form are Northampton Town and Burton Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Northampton Town have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Burton Albion 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Northampton Town vs Burton Albion?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.