Northampton Town vs Reading: match statistics
Reading shows clearly better form in their last five matches (1.6 PPG) compared to Northampton Town (0.8 PPG), which translates to the away team's advantage. Northampton holds a very low 22nd position in the table and has a poor home record with a 38% loss rate, while Reading sits in 13th place with a more solid balance. The visitors score on average more goals away (1.42) than the hosts at home (1.08), and also record better xG statistics (1.31 vs 1.14). Northampton has lost three of its last five matches, indicating a crisis of form. Considering all data, Reading has a real chance of victory, although the away team's tendency to draw (42% away) is also a significant factor.
Northampton Town vs Reading: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Northampton Town played Reading in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Northampton Town: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Reading: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Northampton Town scores 0.89 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Reading scores 1.37 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Northampton Town 41%, Reading 67%. Over 2.5: Northampton Town 41%, Reading 44%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Reading has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.11. Northampton Town: 9.0 shots per match, Reading: 11.9.
Match halves
Northampton Town: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.59. Reading: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Northampton Town: 46-60 (7 goals). Reading: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Reading shows clearly better form in their last five matches (1.6 PPG) compared to Northampton Town (0.8 PPG), which translates to the away team's advantage. Northampton holds a very low 22nd position in the table and has a poor home record with a 38% loss rate, while Reading sits in 13th place with a more solid balance. The visitors score on average more goals away (1.42) than the hosts at home (1.08), and also record better xG statistics (1.31 vs 1.14). Northampton has lost three of its last five matches, indicating a crisis of form. Considering all data, Reading has a real chance of victory, although the away team's tendency to draw (42% away) is also a significant factor.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Northampton Town | Reading | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Reading is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Northampton Town · 1.6 pts / match - Reading
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Reading is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Northampton Town · 1.37 goals / match - Reading
Northampton Town scores in 59% of matches (16 of 27 matches), while Reading keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
Reading scores in 89% of matches (24 of 27 matches), while Northampton Town keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Northampton Town
Over / Under - Reading
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Reading is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Northampton Town · 1.41 pts / match - Reading
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Northampton Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Reading - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Northampton Town
Reading
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Northampton Town | Liga | Reading | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 50% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 68% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 81% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Northampton Town 0 - 0 - 1 Reading. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Northampton Town vs Reading?
The EFL League One match finished Northampton Town 0:2 Reading. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Northampton Town vs Reading?
Northampton Town score 0.89 goals per game on average and Reading 1.37. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Northampton Town's matches and 67% of Reading's.
What form are Northampton Town and Reading in?
Over the last 5 games Northampton Town have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Reading 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Northampton Town vs Reading?
The statistical background for Northampton Town vs Reading — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.