Northampton Town vs Stevenage: match statistics
The match is poised to be very evenly contested, which justifies the prediction of a draw. Northampton Town is in a difficult situation, 23rd in the table with just 0.2 points per game over their last five matches, on a run of four defeats and one draw. Stevenage is positioned higher in 8th place; however, their away form is poor – with 47% of away matches ending in defeat and only a 33% win rate. Both teams have similar xG statistics (Northampton 1.17 vs Stevenage 1.05 away) and high FTS% rates (36% vs 40%), suggesting issues with finishing. The average goals in home matches is 2.0, and for the away side on the road it's 2.4, indicating some goal-scoring potential, but the poor recent form of both sides points towards a share of the points. Possession statistics are almost identical (45% vs 43%), further confirming the balance of power in this encounter.
Northampton Town vs Stevenage: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Northampton Town played Stevenage in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Northampton Town: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Stevenage: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Northampton Town scores 0.90 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Stevenage scores 1.07 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Northampton Town 41%, Stevenage 46%. Over 2.5: Northampton Town 41%, Stevenage 36%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Northampton Town: 9.3 shots per match, Stevenage: 9.5.
Match halves
Northampton Town: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.59. Stevenage: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Northampton Town: 46-60 (7 goals). Stevenage: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match is poised to be very evenly contested, which justifies the prediction of a draw. Northampton Town is in a difficult situation, 23rd in the table with just 0.2 points per game over their last five matches, on a run of four defeats and one draw. Stevenage is positioned higher in 8th place; however, their away form is poor – with 47% of away matches ending in defeat and only a 33% win rate. Both teams have similar xG statistics (Northampton 1.17 vs Stevenage 1.05 away) and high FTS% rates (36% vs 40%), suggesting issues with finishing. The average goals in home matches is 2.0, and for the away side on the road it's 2.4, indicating some goal-scoring potential, but the poor recent form of both sides points towards a share of the points. Possession statistics are almost identical (45% vs 43%), further confirming the balance of power in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Northampton Town | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stevenage is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Northampton Town · 1 pts / match - Stevenage
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stevenage is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Northampton Town · 1.07 goals / match - Stevenage
Stevenage is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Northampton Town · 0.96 goals / match - Stevenage
Northampton Town scores in 59% of matches (17 of 29 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
Stevenage scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Northampton Town keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Northampton Town
Over / Under - Stevenage
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stevenage is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - Northampton Town · 1.21 pts / match - Stevenage
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Northampton Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stevenage - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Northampton Town
Stevenage
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Northampton Town | Liga | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.21 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 27% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 68% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 81% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Northampton Town 0 - 0 - 1 Stevenage. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Northampton Town vs Stevenage?
The EFL League One match finished Northampton Town 3:1 Stevenage. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Northampton Town vs Stevenage?
Northampton Town score 0.90 goals per game on average and Stevenage 1.07. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Northampton Town's matches and 46% of Stevenage's.
What form are Northampton Town and Stevenage in?
Over the last 5 games Northampton Town have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Stevenage 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Northampton Town vs Stevenage?
The statistical background for Northampton Town vs Stevenage — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.