Norwich City vs Southampton: match statistics
Norwich City vs Southampton: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Norwich City played Southampton in Championship (England). The match was played on 14 October 2026. Venue: Carrow Road. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Norwich City: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Southampton: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Norwich City scores 1.89 and concedes 2.11 goals per match. Southampton scores 2.22 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Norwich City 78%, Southampton 89%. Over 2.5: Norwich City 89%, Southampton 67%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Norwich City has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.59. Norwich City: 14.7 shots per match, Southampton: 15.3.
Match halves
Norwich City: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.67. Southampton: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.22.
Goals by minute
Norwich City: 0-15 (5 goals). Southampton: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Norwich are 17th and Southampton 4th, but the home and away statistics favour the hosts. Norwich have won 50% of their home matches, scoring an average of 2.5 goals, while Southampton are yet to win away and have averaged 1 goal on the road. The hosts average 5.75 shots on target per home match, compared with Southampton’s 4.5 away, and their xG is 1.76 versus Southampton’s 1.67, strengthening the case for their attacking edge. Norwich’s defence remains a concern: the team have conceded 15 goals in their last 5 matches, while Southampton have conceded 6. The visitors therefore have a genuine chance of taking points, but Norwich’s home scoring record and Southampton’s lack of away wins justify backing the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to both teams scoring: BTTS has occurred in 100% of Norwich’s home matches and Southampton’s away matches so far, although the sample sizes may be small. Over their last 5 matches, the rates were 80% and 100%, respectively, and the teams scored an average of 2.2 and 2.0 goals per match. Norwich conceded as many as 3.0 goals per match during this period, increasing Southampton’s chances of scoring, even though the visitors average only 1.0 goal away from home. Norwich, meanwhile, score an average of 3.75 goals at home, while Southampton concede 1.5 away; the attacking potential of both sides is also reflected in their similar xG figures of 1.69 and 1.67. The visitors’ lower shot conversion rate, at 6% compared with the hosts’ 23%, limits confidence in the prediction but does not outweigh the indicators pointing to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was cleared in 100% of the Norwich home and Southampton away matches analysed. Both teams scored and conceded at least once in every one of these games, further supporting a minimum of two goals. Norwich average 1.69 xG at home, while Southampton average 1.67 xG away, so both sides create chances regularly. Norwich's last five matches averaged 5.2 goals, while Southampton's averaged 3.2, although the hosts conceded as many as 3.0 goals per game over that period. The Over 2.5 goals line also looks promising, but it landed in 50% of Southampton's away matches, making the lower line the clearer pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal comes from the home and away records: Norwich have won 100% of their home matches, scoring an average of 3.75 goals, while Southampton have failed to win any away match. The hosts had a lead at the break in 3 of 4 home games and scored an average of 1.5 goals before half-time, while the visitors were trailing at half-time in 2 of 4 away games. Norwich have averaged 2.25 goals after the break at home, compared with Southampton’s 0.5 away, supporting the likelihood that the hosts would hold on to any lead. Confidence in the pick is tempered by recent form: Southampton led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, and the teams’ xG figures are similar—1.69 for Norwich versus 1.67 for the visitors. Even so, Norwich’s stronger home results and effectiveness after the break make a home lead at both half-time and full-time the most likely single scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Norwich City | Southampton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Southampton is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Norwich City · 2 pts / match - Southampton
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Southampton is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.89 goals / match - Norwich City · 2.22 goals / match - Southampton
Southampton is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.11 goals / match - Norwich City · 1.11 goals / match - Southampton
Norwich City scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Southampton keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Southampton scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Norwich City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Norwich City
Over / Under - Southampton
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Southampton is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Norwich City · 2.11 pts / match - Southampton
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Norwich City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Southampton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 56%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Norwich City
Southampton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Norwich City | Liga | Southampton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 66% | ▲ 89% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 89% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 20% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Norwich City 1 - 0 - 1 Southampton. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Norwich City vs Southampton?
The Championship match finished Norwich City 0:1 Southampton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Norwich City and Southampton?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Norwich City won 1, Southampton won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Norwich City vs Southampton?
Norwich City score 1.89 goals per game on average and Southampton 2.22. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Norwich City's matches and 89% of Southampton's.
What form are Norwich City and Southampton in?
Over the last 5 games Norwich City have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Southampton 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Norwich City vs Southampton?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Norwich City vs Southampton: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.