Norwich City vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Norwich City played Watford in Championship (England). The match was played on 29 December 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Norwich City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Watford: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Norwich City scores 1.13 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Watford scores 1.43 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.63 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Norwich City 74%, Watford 74%. Over 2.5: Norwich City 48%, Watford 57%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Watford has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.38. Norwich City: 12.7 shots per match, Watford: 14.1.

Match halves

Norwich City: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.48. Watford: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Norwich City: 31-45+ (8 goals). Watford: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
Norwich CityWatford
9Shots8
Norwich CityWatford
1Shots on target2
Norwich CityWatford
1.13xG0.78
Norwich CityWatford
8Corners3
Norwich CityWatford
66Dangerous attacks17
Norwich CityWatford
8Fouls6
Norwich CityWatford
0Cards0
Norwich CityWatford

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Norwich CityWatford
1.13Goals scored / match1.43
Norwich CityWatford
1.52Goals conceded / match1.26
Norwich CityWatford
52%Average possession52%
Norwich CityWatford
4Shots on target / match4.83
Norwich CityWatford

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.65Shots per match14.09
Norwich CityWatford
4Shots on target4.83
Norwich CityWatford
8.9%Shot conversion10.2%
Norwich CityWatford
52%Possession52%
Norwich CityWatford
1.38xG for1.53
Norwich CityWatford
1.53xG against1.36
Norwich CityWatford

Shooting quality

Norwich City: BalancedWatford: Attacking
Norwich CityWatford
Accuracy (shots on target)32%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Watford is 38% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Norwich City · 2.2 pts / match - Watford

Norwich City
LDWDW
Season result split
22% W26% D52% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-12
0.91 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-7
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Watford
WDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
39% W35% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-8-6
1.52 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-5
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Watford is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.13 goals / match - Norwich City · 1.43 goals / match - Watford

Watford is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.52 goals / match - Norwich City · 1.26 goals / match - Watford

Norwich City scoring profile: very strong

Norwich City scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).

Watford scoring profile: very strong

Watford scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Norwich City keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).

26Goals scored (season)33
Norwich CityWatford
35Goals conceded (season)29
Norwich CityWatford
2.65Average goals in match2.7
Norwich CityWatford
7Goals scored (last 5)9
Norwich CityWatford
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
Norwich CityWatford

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal83%
Norwich CityWatford
26%2 goals48%
Norwich CityWatford
4%3 goals13%
Norwich CityWatford
0%4 goals0%
Norwich CityWatford

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal91%
Norwich CityWatford
39%2 goals30%
Norwich CityWatford
17%3 goals4%
Norwich CityWatford
4%4 goals0%
Norwich CityWatford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time39%
Norwich CityWatford
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Norwich CityWatford
9%Scored in both halves17%
Norwich CityWatford

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
Norwich CityWatford
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Norwich CityWatford
80%BTTS - last 580%
Norwich CityWatford

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Norwich CityWatford
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time52%
Norwich CityWatford
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
Norwich CityWatford

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
Norwich CityWatford
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time22%
Norwich CityWatford
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Norwich CityWatford

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Norwich City is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.48 pts / match - Norwich City · 1.04 pts / match - Watford

Norwich City - half-time state
35% leading43% draw22% trailing
Watford - half-time state
22% leading39% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.48Points per match (1st half)1.04
Norwich CityWatford
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.65
Norwich CityWatford
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.91
Norwich CityWatford
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.57
Norwich CityWatford
65%Clean sheet before half-time26%
Norwich CityWatford
52%No goal before half-time52%
Norwich CityWatford

After half-time (2nd half)

0.83Points per match (2nd half)1.83
Norwich CityWatford
0.48Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
Norwich CityWatford
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.35
Norwich CityWatford
1.48Average goals (2nd half)1.13
Norwich CityWatford
26%Clean sheet after half-time65%
Norwich CityWatford
57%No goal after half-time48%
Norwich CityWatford

Norwich City - second-half results

22% W17% D61% L
34
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding63%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Watford - second-half results

52% W26% D22% L
24
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding177%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Norwich City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.62.0
1 goal20%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Watford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.40
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.2
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Norwich City
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
3
2
16-30
8
6
31-45
2
10
46-60
5
4
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Watford
ScoredConceded
2
8
0-15
4
6
16-30
9
7
31-45
5
3
46-60
7
0
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
74%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+87%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Norwich City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Watford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.68
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Norwich CityLigaWatford
Average goals in match 2.652.63 2.70
Both teams scored 74%59% 74%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%51% 57%
Clean sheets 9%23% 9%
Goal before half-time 61%74% 83%
Goal after half-time 91%78% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. WatfordSubstitutionOn: James Bright Adusei AbankwahOff: Jeremy Ngakia
  2. WatfordSubstitutionOn: Nampalys MendyOff: Imran Louza
  3. Norwich CitySubstitutionOn: Liam GibbsOff: Tony Springett
  4. WatfordSubstitutionOn: Nestory IrankundaOff: Othmane Maamma
  5. WatfordSubstitutionOn: Moussa SissokoOff: Thomas Ince

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Norwich City 0 - 0 - 1 Watford. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Norwich City vs Watford?

The Championship match finished Norwich City 0:1 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Norwich City vs Watford?

Norwich City score 1.13 goals per game on average and Watford 1.43. The Championship average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Norwich City's matches and 74% of Watford's.

What form are Norwich City and Watford in?

Over the last 5 games Norwich City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Watford 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Norwich City vs Watford?

The statistical background for Norwich City vs Watford — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.