Noteć Czarnków vs Flota Świnoujście: match statistics
Noteć Czarnków vs Flota Świnoujście: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Noteć Czarnków played Flota Świnoujście in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Noteć Czarnków: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Flota Świnoujście: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Noteć Czarnków scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Flota Świnoujście scores 1.50 and concedes 1.70. League average: 3.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Noteć Czarnków 50%, Flota Świnoujście 50%. Over 2.5: Noteć Czarnków 60%, Flota Świnoujście 50%. League level: BTTS 73%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Flota Świnoujście has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.62. Noteć Czarnków: 13.1 shots per match, Flota Świnoujście: 6.8.
Match halves
Noteć Czarnków: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.10. Flota Świnoujście: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
Noteć Czarnków: 76-90+ (9 goals). Flota Świnoujście: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 3.66 goals per match, BTTS 73%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams have won 1 of their last 5 matches and scored 5 goals apiece over that span, but Flota have conceded as many as 14, compared with Noteć’s 7. The hosts concede an average of 1 goal per game at home, while the visitors ship 2 on the road, giving Noteć the key advantage. Both sides score an average of 1.5 goals in these conditions, although Flota create slightly better chances: their away xG is 1.75, compared with Noteć’s 1.61 at home. The visitors hit the target more often, averaging 8 shots on target against the hosts’ 6.67, but their shooting accuracy is lower: 10% versus 15%. With attacking potential broadly similar and a clear gap in their recent defensive records, Noteć are slight favourites.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 75% of Flota’s matches and 33% of Noteć’s, while the figure stood at 60% for both teams across their last 5 games. The strongest argument for a home goal is the visitors’ defence: Flota concede an average of 2.0 goals per game this season, rising to 2.8 over their last 5 matches, and have yet to keep a clean sheet this season. Noteć, meanwhile, concede an average of 1.5 goals, while Flota score 1.5 and generate 1.75 xG per match, giving the visitors a genuine chance of finding the net. Caution is warranted because Noteć have failed to score in 33% of their matches, and their xG has fallen to 0.96 over the last 5 games. Even so, Flota’s defensive frailties and both teams’ recent scoring form point to a goal at each end as the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to at least two goals: this line was beaten in 83% of Noteć’s matches and 100% of Flota’s. The hosts average 1.5 goals scored, while the visitors concede 2.0; in addition, Flota have conceded 14 goals in their last 5 matches, or 2.8 per game. Flota also have scoring potential, with an average xG of 1.75 compared with the 1.61 xG conceded by Noteć. An expected total of 3.35 goals supports Over 1.5, although higher lines are less certain: Over 2.5 goals landed in 33% of the hosts’ matches and 75% of the visitors’ matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time appears the most likely outcome: Noteć were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Flota did so in 2 of 5; both teams averaged just 0.2 first-half goals over that period. After the break, the hosts have a better chance of turning the game in their favour, having scored an average of 1.17 goals in second halves over the season, compared with Flota's 1.0. Noteć's case is also strengthened by their opponents' recent defensive form: Flota conceded an average of 2.8 goals in their last five matches, compared with 1.4 for the hosts. However, the X/1 pick is far from certain, as Flota have won 50% of their matches this season, compared with Noteć's 33%, and average 8 shots on target per match to the hosts' 5.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Noteć Czarnków | Flota Świnoujście | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.25 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Noteć Czarnków is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków · 1.7 goals / match - Flota Świnoujście
Noteć Czarnków scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Flota Świnoujście keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Flota Świnoujście scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Noteć Czarnków keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Noteć Czarnków
Over / Under - Flota Świnoujście
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Noteć Czarnków is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków · 1.3 pts / match - Flota Świnoujście
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Noteć Czarnków - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Flota Świnoujście - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -9 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Noteć Czarnków
Flota Świnoujście
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Noteć Czarnków | Liga | Flota Świnoujście | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.66 | ▼ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 73% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 15% | ▲ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 81% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 85% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Noteć CzarnkówGoalTobiasz Starosta
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Noteć Czarnków 1 - 1 - 0 Flota Świnoujście. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Noteć Czarnków vs Flota Świnoujście?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Noteć Czarnków 3:0 Flota Świnoujście. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Noteć Czarnków and Flota Świnoujście?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Noteć Czarnków won 1, Flota Świnoujście won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Noteć Czarnków vs Flota Świnoujście?
Noteć Czarnków score 1.50 goals per game on average and Flota Świnoujście 1.50. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Noteć Czarnków's matches and 50% of Flota Świnoujście's.
What form are Noteć Czarnków and Flota Świnoujście in?
Over the last 5 games Noteć Czarnków have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Flota Świnoujście 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Noteć Czarnków vs Flota Świnoujście?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Noteć Czarnków vs Flota Świnoujście: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.