Noteć Czarnków vs Lech Poznań II: match statistics
Noteć Czarnków vs Lech Poznań II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Noteć Czarnków play Lech Poznań II in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match date is 15 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Noteć Czarnków: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Lech Poznań II: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Noteć Czarnków scores 1.41 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Lech Poznań II scores 1.97 and concedes 1.59. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Noteć Czarnków 44%, Lech Poznań II 74%. Over 2.5: Noteć Czarnków 50%, Lech Poznań II 71%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Noteć Czarnków has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.66. Noteć Czarnków: 9.0 shots per match, Lech Poznań II: 11.5.
Match halves
Noteć Czarnków: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.71. Lech Poznań II: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Noteć Czarnków: 0-15 (9 goals). Lech Poznań II: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Lech Poznań II has the attacking edge — the visitors have scored 51 goals this season versus the hosts' 36, and average 2.17 goals away compared to the hosts' 1.38 at home. Although Noteć generates more chances (home xG 2.37 vs Lech's 1.64 and 17.5 shots vs 12.18), their home conversion rate is only 6%, yielding an average of 1.38 goals instead of the expected 2.37. Lech is significantly more efficient in finishing (conversion 19% and 2.17 goals on the road) and is less likely to fail to score (FTS 25% vs Noteć's 38%), which provides a measurable offensive advantage. Defensively Noteć concedes 1.31 goals at home on average, while Lech concedes 1.58 away, so the hosts' defensive block may limit the number of goals but does not offset the effectiveness gap. Considering the seasonal goal totals (51 vs 36) and better recent form (visitors average 1.6 points in the last 5 matches vs hosts' 1.4), I predict an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Noteć Czarnków | Lech Poznań II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Noteć Czarnków is 900% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków · 0.2 pts / match - Lech Poznań II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lech Poznań II is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków · 1.97 goals / match - Lech Poznań II
Noteć Czarnków is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków · 1.59 goals / match - Lech Poznań II
Noteć Czarnków scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Lech Poznań II keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
Lech Poznań II scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Noteć Czarnków keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Noteć Czarnków
Over / Under — Lech Poznań II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lech Poznań II is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków · 1.53 pts / match - Lech Poznań II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Noteć Czarnków - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lech Poznań II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Noteć Czarnków
Lech Poznań II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Noteć Czarnków | Liga | Lech Poznań II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.76 | 3.02 | ▲ 3.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Noteć Czarnków 1 - 0 - 0 Lech Poznań II. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Noteć Czarnków vs Lech Poznań II?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Noteć Czarnków 2:1 Lech Poznań II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Noteć Czarnków vs Lech Poznań II?
Noteć Czarnków score 1.41 goals per game on average and Lech Poznań II 1.97. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Noteć Czarnków's matches and 74% of Lech Poznań II's.
What form are Noteć Czarnków and Lech Poznań II in?
Over the last 5 games Noteć Czarnków have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lech Poznań II 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Noteć Czarnków vs Lech Poznań II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Noteć Czarnków vs Lech Poznań II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.