Poland - 3 Liga Group 2Data current as of 18 September 2026

Noteć Czarnków vs Polonia Środa: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Noteć Czarnków vs Polonia Środa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Noteć Czarnków play Polonia Środa in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match date is 19 September 2026.

Current form

Noteć Czarnków: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Polonia Środa: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Noteć Czarnków scores 1.88 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Polonia Środa scores 3.38 and concedes 1.75. League average: 3.81 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Noteć Czarnków 63%, Polonia Środa 75%. Over 2.5: Noteć Czarnków 75%, Polonia Środa 88%. League level: BTTS 76%, Over 2.5 68%.

xG, shots and style

Polonia Środa has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.67. Noteć Czarnków: 13.6 shots per match, Polonia Środa: 16.0.

Match halves

Noteć Czarnków: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.38. Polonia Środa: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.88.

Goals by minute

Noteć Czarnków: 76-90+ (9 goals). Polonia Środa: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3 Liga Group 2: 3.81 goals per match, BTTS 76%, Over 2.5 68%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
1.88Goals scored / match3.38
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
1.63Goals conceded / match1.75
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
43%Average possession49%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
5.25Shots on target / match8
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.63Shots per match16
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
5.25Shots on target8
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
13.8%Shot conversion21.1%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
43%Possession49%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
1.67xG for1.95
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
1.9xG against1.3
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa

Shooting quality

Noteć Czarnków: Counter-attackingPolonia Środa: Attacking
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
Accuracy (shots on target)39%50%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Polonia Środa is 44% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków · 2.6 pts / match - Polonia Środa

Noteć Czarnków
WWLWL
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-4
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
LWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Polonia Środa
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
88% W13% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-1-0
2.75 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 away
3-1-0
WWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.8Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Polonia Środa is 80% better for: goals scored per match.

1.88 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków · 3.38 goals / match - Polonia Środa

Noteć Czarnków is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.63 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków · 1.75 goals / match - Polonia Środa

Noteć Czarnków scoring profile: very strong

Noteć Czarnków scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Polonia Środa keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

Polonia Środa scoring profile: very strong

Polonia Środa scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Noteć Czarnków keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

15Goals scored (season)27
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
13Goals conceded (season)14
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
3.5Average goals in match5.13
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
9Goals scored (last 5)19
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
6Goals conceded (last 5)13
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal100%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
50%2 goals88%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
50%3 goals88%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
0%4 goals63%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal75%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
50%2 goals50%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
13%3 goals38%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
13%4 goals13%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

76%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time38%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
13%BTTS in both halves25%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
50%Scored in both halves63%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS75%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
80%BTTS - last 5100%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
88%Min. 2 goals after half-time75%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time63%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Polonia Środa is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków · 2.13 pts / match - Polonia Środa

Noteć Czarnków - half-time state
38% leading38% draw25% trailing
Polonia Środa - half-time state
63% leading25% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)2.13
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
0.5Goals scored (1st half)1.5
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
0.88Average goals (1st half)2.13
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
75%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
50%No goal before half-time13%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.63Points per match (2nd half)2
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
1.38Goals scored (2nd half)1.88
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
1.25Goals conceded (2nd half)1.13
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
2.63Average goals (2nd half)3
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
25%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa
13%No goal after half-time25%
Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa

Noteć Czarnków - second-half results

50% W13% D38% L
12
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.9

Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Polonia Środa - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
17
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 88%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Noteć Czarnków - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.62.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Polonia Środa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match1.22.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.8
Average goals in match2.04.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%100%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Noteć Czarnków
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
4
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Polonia Środa
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
9
3
31-45
6
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.32
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 2.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
88%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Noteć Czarnków

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
60% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
60%

Polonia Środa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.98
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
179%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).

Teams vs league

Noteć CzarnkówLigaPolonia Środa
Average goals in match 3.503.81 5.13
Both teams scored 63%76% 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%68% 88%
Clean sheets 25%12% 25%
Goal before half-time 63%82% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%88% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.81
Average goals per match
76%
Both teams scored
68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
12%
Clean sheets
1.92
Home goals / match
1.89
Away goals / match
+2%
Home attack advantage
+2%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
71%
2 goals
39%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Noteć Czarnków 2 - 0 - 0 Polonia Środa. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Noteć Czarnków
2 : 0
Polonia Środa
Polonia Środa
2 : 6
Noteć Czarnków

FAQ

When do Noteć Czarnków and Polonia Środa play?

Noteć Czarnków face Polonia Środa on 19 September 2026 in 3 Liga Group 2. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Noteć Czarnków and Polonia Środa?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Noteć Czarnków won 2, Polonia Środa won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Noteć Czarnków vs Polonia Środa?

Noteć Czarnków score 1.88 goals per game on average and Polonia Środa 3.38. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Noteć Czarnków's matches and 75% of Polonia Środa's.

What form are Noteć Czarnków and Polonia Środa in?

Over the last 5 games Noteć Czarnków have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Polonia Środa 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Noteć Czarnków vs Polonia Środa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.