Noteć Czarnków vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: match statistics
Noteć Czarnków showcases a decidedly better form and overall match record this season. The hosts have won 8 games with a goal difference of 29:28, whereas Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has only 4 victories and a much worse 16:38 goal difference. The key factor is the xG advantage – Noteć averages 2.37 xG in home matches compared to just 1.01 xG for their opponents, indicating dominance in chance creation. On the road, Tłuchowia concedes an average of 2.1 goals per match and holds only a 30% win rate, which, coupled with a -10 goal difference, confirms their defensive frailties. The recent form of both teams (1.8 PPG for the hosts vs 0.8 for the visitors) and Noteć's higher efficiency (15% vs 11%) further advocate for the home side. Taking all statistics into account, a win for Noteć Czarnków is the most probable scenario for this encounter.
Noteć Czarnków vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Noteć Czarnków played Tłuchowia Tłuchowo in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Noteć Czarnków: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Noteć Czarnków scores 1.57 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Tłuchowia Tłuchowo scores 0.80 and concedes 1.90. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Noteć Czarnków 48%, Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 40%. Over 2.5: Noteć Czarnków 48%, Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 55%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Noteć Czarnków has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.32. Noteć Czarnków: 10.4 shots per match, Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: 7.3.
Match halves
Noteć Czarnków: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.81. Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Noteć Czarnków: 46-60 (8 goals). Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Noteć Czarnków showcases a decidedly better form and overall match record this season. The hosts have won 8 games with a goal difference of 29:28, whereas Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has only 4 victories and a much worse 16:38 goal difference. The key factor is the xG advantage – Noteć averages 2.37 xG in home matches compared to just 1.01 xG for their opponents, indicating dominance in chance creation. On the road, Tłuchowia concedes an average of 2.1 goals per match and holds only a 30% win rate, which, coupled with a -10 goal difference, confirms their defensive frailties. The recent form of both teams (1.8 PPG for the hosts vs 0.8 for the visitors) and Noteć's higher efficiency (15% vs 11%) further advocate for the home side. Taking all statistics into account, a win for Noteć Czarnków is the most probable scenario for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Noteć Czarnków | Tłuchowia Tłuchowo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Noteć Czarnków is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków · 0.8 pts / match - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Noteć Czarnków is 96% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków · 0.8 goals / match - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Noteć Czarnków is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków · 1.9 goals / match - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Noteć Czarnków scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Tłuchowia Tłuchowo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Noteć Czarnków keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Noteć Czarnków
Over / Under - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Noteć Czarnków - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Noteć Czarnków
Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Noteć Czarnków | Liga | Tłuchowia Tłuchowo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 50% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 56% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Noteć Czarnków 0 - 1 - 0 Tłuchowia Tłuchowo. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Noteć Czarnków vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Noteć Czarnków 1:1 Tłuchowia Tłuchowo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Noteć Czarnków vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo?
Noteć Czarnków score 1.57 goals per game on average and Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 0.80. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Noteć Czarnków's matches and 40% of Tłuchowia Tłuchowo's.
What form are Noteć Czarnków and Tłuchowia Tłuchowo in?
Over the last 5 games Noteć Czarnków have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Tłuchowia Tłuchowo 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Noteć Czarnków vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo?
The statistical background for Noteć Czarnków vs Tłuchowia Tłuchowo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.