Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth: match statistics
Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nottingham Forest play AFC Bournemouth in Premier League (England). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 17:00. Venue: The City Ground. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Nottingham Forest: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. AFC Bournemouth: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nottingham Forest scores 1.26 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. AFC Bournemouth scores 1.53 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nottingham Forest 47%, AFC Bournemouth 66%. Over 2.5: Nottingham Forest 53%, AFC Bournemouth 55%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
AFC Bournemouth has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.44. Nottingham Forest: 12.5 shots per match, AFC Bournemouth: 13.8.
Match halves
Nottingham Forest: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.76. AFC Bournemouth: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Nottingham Forest: 76-90+ (13 goals). AFC Bournemouth: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
AFC Bournemouth are the favorites: they sit 6th versus Nottingham Forest’s 16th and have averaged 2.2 points in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while Nottingham average 1.4 points with a 2-1-2 record. The away side score 1.56 goals per away match, register 4.83 shots on target per game and convert at roughly 12%, whereas the home team average 1.06 goals at home with 3.94 shots on target and a conversion rate near 7%. Nottingham’s home xG is 1.66 against Bournemouth’s away xG of 1.49, and Nottingham concede 1.22 goals per home game versus Bournemouth’s 1.83 conceded on the road, which gives mixed signals — hosts create chances but do not always convert. In their last 5 matches Nottingham have conceded 9 and scored 7, while Bournemouth have scored 9 and conceded 4; additionally the hosts have been shut out in 50% of home games versus just 17% for Bournemouth, which strongly favors the visitors. Considering the visitors’ higher efficiency and better form, I predict a Bournemouth win, although Nottingham’s respectable home defence suggests the match could be tight and low-scoring.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nottingham Forest | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AFC Bournemouth is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Nottingham Forest · 1.8 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AFC Bournemouth is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Nottingham Forest · 1.53 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.34 goals / match - Nottingham Forest · 1.42 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while AFC Bournemouth keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
AFC Bournemouth scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nottingham Forest
Over / Under — AFC Bournemouth
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AFC Bournemouth is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Nottingham Forest · 1.42 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AFC Bournemouth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nottingham Forest
AFC Bournemouth
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nottingham Forest | Liga | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.75 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nottingham Forest 0 - 0 - 1 AFC Bournemouth. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth?
The Premier League match finished Nottingham Forest 1:1 AFC Bournemouth. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth?
Nottingham Forest score 1.26 goals per game on average and AFC Bournemouth 1.53. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Nottingham Forest's matches and 66% of AFC Bournemouth's.
What form are Nottingham Forest and AFC Bournemouth in?
Over the last 5 games Nottingham Forest have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and AFC Bournemouth 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.