Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in Premier League (England). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: The City Ground.
Current form
Nottingham Forest: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Arsenal: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nottingham Forest scores 0.83 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Arsenal scores 1.67 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nottingham Forest 50%, Arsenal 33%. Over 2.5: Nottingham Forest 50%, Arsenal 67%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Nottingham Forest has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.56. Nottingham Forest: 17.7 shots per match, Arsenal: 13.0.
Match halves
Nottingham Forest: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50. Arsenal: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Nottingham Forest: 0-15 (1 goals). Arsenal: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nottingham Forest | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 22% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arsenal is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Nottingham Forest · 2.4 pts / match - Arsenal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arsenal is 101% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Nottingham Forest · 1.67 goals / match - Arsenal
Arsenal is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Nottingham Forest · 0.83 goals / match - Arsenal
Nottingham Forest scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Arsenal keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Arsenal scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nottingham Forest
Over / Under - Arsenal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arsenal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nottingham Forest | Liga | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 - 1 Arsenal. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Nottingham Forest and Arsenal play?
Nottingham Forest face Arsenal on 18 October 2026 in Premier League at The City Ground. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and Arsenal?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nottingham Forest won 0, Arsenal won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Nottingham Forest score 0.83 goals per game on average and Arsenal 1.67. The Premier League average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nottingham Forest's matches and 33% of Arsenal's.
What form are Nottingham Forest and Arsenal in?
Over the last 5 games Nottingham Forest have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Arsenal 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
The statistical background for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.