Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly balanced, justifying a draw prediction. Nottingham Forest shows better recent form over the last five matches (1.6 PPG) with two wins, while Crystal Palace is in a crisis with just 0.2 PPG and four consecutive defeats. However, the hosts have poor efficiency in home matches (27% win rate, 55% loss rate) and often fail to score (55% FTS%). Crystal Palace demonstrates solidity in away games with a goal difference of 0 and a 45% win rate, making them a dangerous opponent despite their poor recent form. Expected xG values indicate a slight advantage for the hosts (1.62 vs 1.14), but the difference is insufficient for a certain victory. Considering the statistics, the most probable outcomes appear to be a draw or a narrow win for either side.
Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nottingham Forest played Crystal Palace in Premier League (England). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Nottingham Forest: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Crystal Palace: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nottingham Forest scores 1.00 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Crystal Palace scores 1.04 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nottingham Forest 35%, Crystal Palace 48%. Over 2.5: Nottingham Forest 52%, Crystal Palace 48%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Nottingham Forest has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.32. Nottingham Forest: 11.9 shots per match, Crystal Palace: 11.5.
Match halves
Nottingham Forest: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.65. Crystal Palace: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Nottingham Forest: 46-60 (7 goals). Crystal Palace: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly balanced, justifying a draw prediction. Nottingham Forest shows better recent form over the last five matches (1.6 PPG) with two wins, while Crystal Palace is in a crisis with just 0.2 PPG and four consecutive defeats. However, the hosts have poor efficiency in home matches (27% win rate, 55% loss rate) and often fail to score (55% FTS%). Crystal Palace demonstrates solidity in away games with a goal difference of 0 and a 45% win rate, making them a dangerous opponent despite their poor recent form. Expected xG values indicate a slight advantage for the hosts (1.62 vs 1.14), but the difference is insufficient for a certain victory. Considering the statistics, the most probable outcomes appear to be a draw or a narrow win for either side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nottingham Forest | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nottingham Forest is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Nottingham Forest · 0.4 pts / match - Crystal Palace
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crystal Palace is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Nottingham Forest · 1.22 goals / match - Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest scores in 52% of matches (12 of 23 matches), while Crystal Palace keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
Crystal Palace scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nottingham Forest
Over / Under - Crystal Palace
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crystal Palace is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - Nottingham Forest · 1.52 pts / match - Crystal Palace
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Crystal Palace - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nottingham Forest | Liga | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.48 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 54% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 - 0 Crystal Palace. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?
The Premier League match finished Nottingham Forest 1:1 Crystal Palace. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?
Nottingham Forest score 1.00 goals per game on average and Crystal Palace 1.04. The Premier League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Nottingham Forest's matches and 48% of Crystal Palace's.
What form are Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace in?
Over the last 5 games Nottingham Forest have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Crystal Palace 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?
The statistical background for Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.