Notts County vs Accrington Stanley: match statistics
Notts County exhibits superior home form, boasting a 55% home win rate and an impressive +10 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 2 goals per home match, failing to score in just 9% of games, highlighting their potent attack. Conversely, Accrington Stanley struggles on the road with only an 18% away win rate, failing to score in 45% of matches, and holding a negative goal difference of -6. The disparity in possession (59% vs 47%) and shot conversion (17% vs 8%) further favors the home side. While both teams show similar form over the last five games, Notts County's home dominance combined with Accrington's away woes makes the hosts the clear favorites for this fixture.
Notts County vs Accrington Stanley: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Notts County played Accrington Stanley in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 1 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Notts County: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Accrington Stanley: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Notts County scores 1.57 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Accrington Stanley scores 1.13 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Notts County 61%, Accrington Stanley 48%. Over 2.5: Notts County 52%, Accrington Stanley 35%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Accrington Stanley has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.26. Notts County: 10.6 shots per match, Accrington Stanley: 13.0.
Match halves
Notts County: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.91. Accrington Stanley: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Notts County: 76-90+ (9 goals). Accrington Stanley: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Notts County exhibits superior home form, boasting a 55% home win rate and an impressive +10 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 2 goals per home match, failing to score in just 9% of games, highlighting their potent attack. Conversely, Accrington Stanley struggles on the road with only an 18% away win rate, failing to score in 45% of matches, and holding a negative goal difference of -6. The disparity in possession (59% vs 47%) and shot conversion (17% vs 8%) further favors the home side. While both teams show similar form over the last five games, Notts County's home dominance combined with Accrington's away woes makes the hosts the clear favorites for this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Notts County | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Accrington Stanley is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Notts County · 1.8 pts / match - Accrington Stanley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Notts County is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Notts County · 1.13 goals / match - Accrington Stanley
Notts County scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Accrington Stanley keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
Accrington Stanley scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Notts County
Over / Under - Accrington Stanley
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Accrington Stanley is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Notts County · 1.65 pts / match - Accrington Stanley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Notts County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Accrington Stanley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 35%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Notts County
Accrington Stanley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Notts County | Liga | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 71% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Notts County vs Accrington Stanley?
The EFL League Two match finished Notts County 0:1 Accrington Stanley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Notts County vs Accrington Stanley?
Notts County score 1.57 goals per game on average and Accrington Stanley 1.13. The EFL League Two average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Notts County's matches and 48% of Accrington Stanley's.
What form are Notts County and Accrington Stanley in?
Over the last 5 games Notts County have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Accrington Stanley 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Notts County vs Accrington Stanley?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.