Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra: match statistics
Notts County presents a clear advantage as the host, winning 50% of home matches with only 25% losses. The hosts score an average of 1.83 goals per home match and maintain a solid defense with 1.08 goals conceded, achieving 33% clean sheets. Crewe Alexandra struggles on the road, losing half of their matches (50%) and failing to score in 42% of games, with just 33% victories. The positive goal difference for Notts County at home (+9) compared to Crewe's minimal margin away (+1) and higher average possession (58% vs 51%) confirm the hosts' advantage. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.0-1.4 points per match each), however, the home pitch factor and Notts County's home statistics tip the scales of victory in their favor, although a draw or a surprise by the visitors cannot be ruled out.
Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Notts County played Crewe Alexandra in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Notts County: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Crewe Alexandra: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Notts County scores 1.52 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Crewe Alexandra scores 1.62 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Notts County 60%, Crewe Alexandra 65%. Over 2.5: Notts County 52%, Crewe Alexandra 58%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Crewe Alexandra has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.27. Notts County: 10.6 shots per match, Crewe Alexandra: 12.7.
Match halves
Notts County: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.92. Crewe Alexandra: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Notts County: 76-90+ (10 goals). Crewe Alexandra: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Notts County presents a clear advantage as the host, winning 50% of home matches with only 25% losses. The hosts score an average of 1.83 goals per home match and maintain a solid defense with 1.08 goals conceded, achieving 33% clean sheets. Crewe Alexandra struggles on the road, losing half of their matches (50%) and failing to score in 42% of games, with just 33% victories. The positive goal difference for Notts County at home (+9) compared to Crewe's minimal margin away (+1) and higher average possession (58% vs 51%) confirm the hosts' advantage. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.0-1.4 points per match each), however, the home pitch factor and Notts County's home statistics tip the scales of victory in their favor, although a draw or a surprise by the visitors cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Notts County | Crewe Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Crewe Alexandra is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Notts County · 1.4 pts / match - Crewe Alexandra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crewe Alexandra is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Notts County · 1.62 goals / match - Crewe Alexandra
Notts County is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Notts County · 1.31 goals / match - Crewe Alexandra
Notts County scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Crewe Alexandra keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).
Crewe Alexandra scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Notts County
Over / Under - Crewe Alexandra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crewe Alexandra is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Notts County · 1.5 pts / match - Crewe Alexandra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Notts County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Crewe Alexandra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Notts County
Crewe Alexandra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Notts County | Liga | Crewe Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.60 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 25% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 77% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Notts County 0 - 0 - 1 Crewe Alexandra. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra?
The EFL League Two match finished Notts County 1:0 Crewe Alexandra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra?
Notts County score 1.52 goals per game on average and Crewe Alexandra 1.62. The EFL League Two average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Notts County's matches and 65% of Crewe Alexandra's.
What form are Notts County and Crewe Alexandra in?
Over the last 5 games Notts County have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Crewe Alexandra 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra?
The statistical background for Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.