Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Notts County played Milton Keynes Dons in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 9 December 2025. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Notts County: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Milton Keynes Dons: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Notts County scores 1.67 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.94 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Notts County 67%, Milton Keynes Dons 67%. Over 2.5: Notts County 61%, Milton Keynes Dons 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Milton Keynes Dons has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.30. Notts County: 10.8 shots per match, Milton Keynes Dons: 11.2.

Match halves

Notts County: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.00. Milton Keynes Dons: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.11.

Goals by minute

Notts County: 61-75 (7 goals). Milton Keynes Dons: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
9Shots15
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
7Shots on target6
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
1.21xG1.65
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
2Corners1
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
20Dangerous attacks38
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
12Fouls16
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
2Cards3
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
1.67Goals scored / match1.94
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
1.11Goals conceded / match1.11
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
56%Average possession51%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
4.33Shots on target / match4.17
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.78Shots per match11.22
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
4.33Shots on target4.17
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
15.5%Shot conversion17.3%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
56%Possession51%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
1.3xG for1.31
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
1.2xG against1.24
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

Shooting quality

Notts County: Efficient finishingMilton Keynes Dons: Efficient finishing
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
Accuracy (shots on target)40%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.47

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Notts County is 25% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Notts County · 1.6 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons

Notts County
WWDLW
Season result split
50% W22% D28% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-5
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Milton Keynes Dons
LDWDW
Season result split
50% W28% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-4
1.78 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WWLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Milton Keynes Dons is 16% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Notts County · 1.94 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons

Notts County scoring profile: very strong

Notts County scores in 94% of matches (17 of 18 matches), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

Milton Keynes Dons scoring profile: very strong

Milton Keynes Dons scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

30Goals scored (season)35
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
20Goals conceded (season)20
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
2.78Average goals in match3.06
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
7Goals scored (last 5)9
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal89%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
44%2 goals67%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
17%3 goals22%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
11%4 goals11%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal72%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
33%2 goals33%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
6%3 goals6%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
0%4 goals0%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

67%
Milton Keynes Dons - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 18 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time11%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
6%BTTS in both halves0%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
22%Scored in both halves44%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
60%BTTS - last 580%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Milton Keynes Dons is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Notts County · 1.72 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons

Notts County - half-time state
28% leading50% draw22% trailing
Milton Keynes Dons - half-time state
50% leading22% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.72
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.83
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.39
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
50%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
56%No goal before half-time39%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

After half-time (2nd half)

1.61Points per match (2nd half)1.78
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.11
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
1.61Average goals (2nd half)1.67
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
44%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons
28%No goal after half-time28%
Notts CountyMilton Keynes Dons

Notts County - second-half results

44% W28% D28% L
24
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding179%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results

50% W28% D22% L
31
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.72
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Notts County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Milton Keynes Dons - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Notts County
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
4
5
46-60
7
1
61-75
7
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Milton Keynes Dons
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
3
5
16-30
6
1
31-45
6
1
46-60
5
3
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
84%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Notts County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Milton Keynes Dons

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.76
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.63
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
159%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Notts CountyLigaMilton Keynes Dons
Average goals in match 2.782.67 3.06
Both teams scored 67%57% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 61%49% 67%
Clean sheets 28%24% 28%
Goal before half-time 67%71% 83%
Goal after half-time 100%76% 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Notts CountyGoalMatthew DennisAssist: Jacob Mitchell Bedeau
  2. Milton Keynes DonsGoalNathaniel Mendez-Laing
  3. Notts CountyGoalAlassana Jatta
  4. Milton Keynes DonsYellow cardAaron Evans Nemane
  5. Notts CountyYellow cardLewis Macarai
  6. Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Gethin Wynne JonesOff: Aaron Evans Nemane
  7. Milton Keynes DonsYellow cardLuke William Offord
  8. Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Aaron Graham John CollinsOff: Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
  9. Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Joe TomlinsonOff: Laurence Maguire
  10. Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: William Guy CollarOff: Callum Thomas Owen Paterson
  11. Notts CountySubstitutionOn: Kellan Sheene GordonOff: Alassana Jatta
  12. Notts CountyGoalTom Iorpenda
  13. Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Daniel CrowleyOff: Liam Anthony Kelly
  14. Notts CountySubstitutionOn: Lucas NessOff: Lewis Macarai
  15. Milton Keynes DonsYellow cardKane Thompson-Sommers
  16. Notts CountyYellow cardMatthew Dennis

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons?

The EFL League Two match finished Notts County 3:2 Milton Keynes Dons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Notts County score 1.67 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 1.94. The EFL League Two average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Notts County's matches and 67% of Milton Keynes Dons's.

What form are Notts County and Milton Keynes Dons in?

Over the last 5 games Notts County have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.